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Pemilihan Umum·Primer

NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Pemilihan Umum·Primer

NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Claire Valdez 64%

Antonio Reynoso 33%

Lincoln Restler <1%

Julie Won <1%

Polymarket

$107,379 Vol.

Claire Valdez 64%

Antonio Reynoso 33%

Lincoln Restler <1%

Julie Won <1%

Polymarket

$107,379 Vol.

Claire Valdez

$10,069 Vol.

64%

Antonio Reynoso

$10,342 Vol.

33%

Lincoln Restler

$6,443 Vol.

1%

Julie Won

$4,537 Vol.

<1%

Tiffany Cabán

$8,164 Vol.

<1%

Kristen Gonzalez

$25,793 Vol.

<1%

Julia Salazar

$7,214 Vol.

<1%

Jennifer Gútierrez

$25,774 Vol.

<1%

Sandy Nurse

$9,059 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Claire Valdez has emerged as the frontrunner in trader consensus for the June 23 Democratic primary in New York’s 7th congressional district, an open seat following longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s retirement. Her position reflects the impact of New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s endorsement and full backing from the NYC Democratic Socialists of America chapter, alongside strong first-quarter fundraising of roughly $752,000 and labor support. Antonio Reynoso, the Brooklyn borough president, trails with endorsements from Velázquez, the Working Families Party, and Queens Democrats plus comparable fundraising near $630,000, though his established record in local office has sustained a competitive share. Other candidates including Julie Won remain at low implied probabilities amid the two-candidate dynamic. The June primary timeline keeps attention on final endorsements and turnout in the Brooklyn-Queens district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$107,379
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Claire Valdez has emerged as the frontrunner in trader consensus for the June 23 Democratic primary in New York’s 7th congressional district, an open seat following longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s retirement. Her position reflects the impact of New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s endorsement and full backing from the NYC Democratic Socialists of America chapter, alongside strong first-quarter fundraising of roughly $752,000 and labor support. Antonio Reynoso, the Brooklyn borough president, trails with endorsements from Velázquez, the Working Families Party, and Queens Democrats plus comparable fundraising near $630,000, though his established record in local office has sustained a competitive share. Other candidates including Julie Won remain at low implied probabilities amid the two-candidate dynamic. The June primary timeline keeps attention on final endorsements and turnout in the Brooklyn-Queens district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$107,379
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Claire Valdez" di 64%, diikuti oleh "Antonio Reynoso" di 33%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 64¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 64% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $107.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Claire Valdez" di 64%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 64% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Antonio Reynoso" di 33%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.