Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 70-75% turnout at 97.5% implied probability for Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, anchored by the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) official figure of 73.79%—20.16 million votes from 27.33 million registered voters—with 99.99% of actas processed as of May 14. This aligns closely with 2021's 74.6% first-round participation amid mandatory voting fines often sidestepped for work. Key drivers include polling-station delays in Lima (30% of voters, right-leaning), technical glitches extending voting to April 13, and voter apathy fueled by political distrust, fragmentation among 35 candidates, and a decade of instability with eight presidents. High blank (11.8%) and invalid (5.2%) votes underscore disillusionment. Final certification poses negligible risk to this bin, barring extraordinary recount adjustments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui70-75% 98.0%
80-85% <1%
75-80% <1%
< 70% <1%
$259,221 Vol.
$259,221 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
< 70%
<1%
70-75%
98%
75-80%
<1%
80-85%
1%
> 85%
<1%
70-75% 98.0%
80-85% <1%
75-80% <1%
< 70% <1%
$259,221 Vol.
$259,221 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
< 70%
$33,415 Vol.
<1%
70-75%
$70,771 Vol.
98%
75-80%
$48,838 Vol.
<1%
80-85%
$95,650 Vol.
1%
> 85%
$10,548 Vol.
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 70-75% turnout at 97.5% implied probability for Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, anchored by the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) official figure of 73.79%—20.16 million votes from 27.33 million registered voters—with 99.99% of actas processed as of May 14. This aligns closely with 2021's 74.6% first-round participation amid mandatory voting fines often sidestepped for work. Key drivers include polling-station delays in Lima (30% of voters, right-leaning), technical glitches extending voting to April 13, and voter apathy fueled by political distrust, fragmentation among 35 candidates, and a decade of instability with eight presidents. High blank (11.8%) and invalid (5.2%) votes underscore disillusionment. Final certification poses negligible risk to this bin, barring extraordinary recount adjustments.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
Volume
$259,221Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 70-75% turnout at 97.5% implied probability for Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, anchored by the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) official figure of 73.79%—20.16 million votes from 27.33 million registered voters—with 99.99% of actas processed as of May 14. This aligns closely with 2021's 74.6% first-round participation amid mandatory voting fines often sidestepped for work. Key drivers include polling-station delays in Lima (30% of voters, right-leaning), technical glitches extending voting to April 13, and voter apathy fueled by political distrust, fragmentation among 35 candidates, and a decade of instability with eight presidents. High blank (11.8%) and invalid (5.2%) votes underscore disillusionment. Final certification poses negligible risk to this bin, barring extraordinary recount adjustments.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$259,221Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 70-75% turnout at 97.5% implied probability for Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, anchored by the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) official figure of 73.79%—20.16 million votes from 27.33 million registered voters—with 99.99% of actas processed as of May 14. This aligns closely with 2021's 74.6% first-round participation amid mandatory voting fines often sidestepped for work. Key drivers include polling-station delays in Lima (30% of voters, right-leaning), technical glitches extending voting to April 13, and voter apathy fueled by political distrust, fragmentation among 35 candidates, and a decade of instability with eight presidents. High blank (11.8%) and invalid (5.2%) votes underscore disillusionment. Final certification poses negligible risk to this bin, barring extraordinary recount adjustments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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