Russia's State Duma elections scheduled for September 18–20, 2026, show trader consensus clustered tightly around 50–56% turnout, aligning with historical benchmarks of 47.8% in 2016 and 51.7% in 2021. Stable April polling from VCIOM and FOM indicates United Russia support between 35% and 52%, paired with abstention intentions of 7–13%, providing little impetus for sharp shifts. Expansion of remote electronic voting across nearly half of regions offers easier access that could lift participation, yet ongoing war fatigue, modest dips in presidential approval to 79%, and economic pressures sustain voter disengagement. Administrative mobilization efforts or targeted economic measures ahead of the vote could widen gaps, while heightened mobilization concerns or localized protests might suppress rates further, keeping outcomes closely contested in the absence of major catalysts in recent weeks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
53-56% 38.9%
50-53% 34%
62%+ 29%
<47% 26%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
<47%
24%
47-50%
26%
50-53%
34%
53-56%
39%
56-59%
24%
59-62%
26%
62%+
38%
53-56% 38.9%
50-53% 34%
62%+ 29%
<47% 26%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
<47%
$175 Vol.
24%
47-50%
$67 Vol.
26%
50-53%
$67 Vol.
34%
53-56%
$73 Vol.
39%
56-59%
$59 Vol.
24%
59-62%
$60 Vol.
26%
62%+
$62 Vol.
38%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's State Duma elections scheduled for September 18–20, 2026, show trader consensus clustered tightly around 50–56% turnout, aligning with historical benchmarks of 47.8% in 2016 and 51.7% in 2021. Stable April polling from VCIOM and FOM indicates United Russia support between 35% and 52%, paired with abstention intentions of 7–13%, providing little impetus for sharp shifts. Expansion of remote electronic voting across nearly half of regions offers easier access that could lift participation, yet ongoing war fatigue, modest dips in presidential approval to 79%, and economic pressures sustain voter disengagement. Administrative mobilization efforts or targeted economic measures ahead of the vote could widen gaps, while heightened mobilization concerns or localized protests might suppress rates further, keeping outcomes closely contested in the absence of major catalysts in recent weeks.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Volume
$564Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's State Duma elections scheduled for September 18–20, 2026, show trader consensus clustered tightly around 50–56% turnout, aligning with historical benchmarks of 47.8% in 2016 and 51.7% in 2021. Stable April polling from VCIOM and FOM indicates United Russia support between 35% and 52%, paired with abstention intentions of 7–13%, providing little impetus for sharp shifts. Expansion of remote electronic voting across nearly half of regions offers easier access that could lift participation, yet ongoing war fatigue, modest dips in presidential approval to 79%, and economic pressures sustain voter disengagement. Administrative mobilization efforts or targeted economic measures ahead of the vote could widen gaps, while heightened mobilization concerns or localized protests might suppress rates further, keeping outcomes closely contested in the absence of major catalysts in recent weeks.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volume
$564Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Russia's State Duma elections scheduled for September 18–20, 2026, show trader consensus clustered tightly around 50–56% turnout, aligning with historical benchmarks of 47.8% in 2016 and 51.7% in 2021. Stable April polling from VCIOM and FOM indicates United Russia support between 35% and 52%, paired with abstention intentions of 7–13%, providing little impetus for sharp shifts. Expansion of remote electronic voting across nearly half of regions offers easier access that could lift participation, yet ongoing war fatigue, modest dips in presidential approval to 79%, and economic pressures sustain voter disengagement. Administrative mobilization efforts or targeted economic measures ahead of the vote could widen gaps, while heightened mobilization concerns or localized protests might suppress rates further, keeping outcomes closely contested in the absence of major catalysts in recent weeks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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