Russia’s September 18–20 State Duma elections feature roughly 111 million registered voters and three-day voting that includes expanded electronic options in several regions. Regional authorities have received instructions targeting turnout near 50 percent to balance legitimacy with controlled mobilization, while state polling shows declared participation intentions near 66 percent. Administrative resources, party-list dynamics, and the exclusion of certain opposition groups such as Yabloko shape participation levels, yet wartime conditions and uneven regional engagement create offsetting pressures. These factors leave the 50–56 percent band as the narrowest cluster in trader pricing, with modest separation possible only from last-minute mobilization drives or shifts in electronic-voting uptake before polls close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
53-56% 29.5%
50-53% 28%
47-50% 13%
59-62% 12.1%
$52,719 Vol.
$52,719 Vol.
<47%
1%
47-50%
13%
50-53%
28%
53-56%
30%
56-59%
9%
59-62%
12%
62%+
10%
53-56% 29.5%
50-53% 28%
47-50% 13%
59-62% 12.1%
$52,719 Vol.
$52,719 Vol.
<47%
1%
47-50%
13%
50-53%
28%
53-56%
30%
56-59%
9%
59-62%
12%
62%+
10%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Russia’s September 18–20 State Duma elections feature roughly 111 million registered voters and three-day voting that includes expanded electronic options in several regions. Regional authorities have received instructions targeting turnout near 50 percent to balance legitimacy with controlled mobilization, while state polling shows declared participation intentions near 66 percent. Administrative resources, party-list dynamics, and the exclusion of certain opposition groups such as Yabloko shape participation levels, yet wartime conditions and uneven regional engagement create offsetting pressures. These factors leave the 50–56 percent band as the narrowest cluster in trader pricing, with modest separation possible only from last-minute mobilization drives or shifts in electronic-voting uptake before polls close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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