United Russia holds overwhelming trader consensus for winning the most seats in Russia's September 18–20 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources and proven strength in single-member districts under the mixed electoral system. Recent preparations, including party primaries, a restructured leadership list led by Dmitry Medvedev, and Central Election Commission scheduling, along with United Russia's clean sweep in 2025 regional contests, have reinforced expectations of another constitutional majority. Fragmented systemic opposition parties face registration hurdles, candidate disqualifications, and limited district-level infrastructure, keeping their prospects minimal. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain narrow and would likely require major late developments such as sharp shifts in elite alignment or unforeseen external shocks within the narrow pre-election window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiRusia Bersatu (ER) 98.4%
Partai Demokrat Liberal Rusia (LDPR) <1%
Partai Komunis Federasi Rusia (KPRF) <1%
Yabloko <1%
$3,126,119 Vol.
$3,126,119 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Rusia Bersatu (ER)
98%
Partai Demokrat Liberal Rusia (LDPR)
<1%
Partai Komunis Federasi Rusia (KPRF)
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
New People (NL)
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Rusia Bersatu (ER) 98.4%
Partai Demokrat Liberal Rusia (LDPR) <1%
Partai Komunis Federasi Rusia (KPRF) <1%
Yabloko <1%
$3,126,119 Vol.
$3,126,119 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Rusia Bersatu (ER)
$775,857 Vol.
98%
Partai Demokrat Liberal Rusia (LDPR)
$198,399 Vol.
<1%
Partai Komunis Federasi Rusia (KPRF)
$155,474 Vol.
<1%
Yabloko
$25,897 Vol.
<1%
New People (NL)
$131,765 Vol.
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$603,407 Vol.
<1%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$732,784 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$502,537 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia holds overwhelming trader consensus for winning the most seats in Russia's September 18–20 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources and proven strength in single-member districts under the mixed electoral system. Recent preparations, including party primaries, a restructured leadership list led by Dmitry Medvedev, and Central Election Commission scheduling, along with United Russia's clean sweep in 2025 regional contests, have reinforced expectations of another constitutional majority. Fragmented systemic opposition parties face registration hurdles, candidate disqualifications, and limited district-level infrastructure, keeping their prospects minimal. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain narrow and would likely require major late developments such as sharp shifts in elite alignment or unforeseen external shocks within the narrow pre-election window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volume
$3,126,119Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia holds overwhelming trader consensus for winning the most seats in Russia's September 18–20 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources and proven strength in single-member districts under the mixed electoral system. Recent preparations, including party primaries, a restructured leadership list led by Dmitry Medvedev, and Central Election Commission scheduling, along with United Russia's clean sweep in 2025 regional contests, have reinforced expectations of another constitutional majority. Fragmented systemic opposition parties face registration hurdles, candidate disqualifications, and limited district-level infrastructure, keeping their prospects minimal. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain narrow and would likely require major late developments such as sharp shifts in elite alignment or unforeseen external shocks within the narrow pre-election window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$3,126,119Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia holds overwhelming trader consensus for winning the most seats in Russia's September 18–20 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources and proven strength in single-member districts under the mixed electoral system. Recent preparations, including party primaries, a restructured leadership list led by Dmitry Medvedev, and Central Election Commission scheduling, along with United Russia's clean sweep in 2025 regional contests, have reinforced expectations of another constitutional majority. Fragmented systemic opposition parties face registration hurdles, candidate disqualifications, and limited district-level infrastructure, keeping their prospects minimal. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain narrow and would likely require major late developments such as sharp shifts in elite alignment or unforeseen external shocks within the narrow pre-election window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTerkait
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
42%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
83%
Apakah Rusia Bersatu (ER) akan mendapatkan kursi terbanyak dalam pemilihan parlemen Rusia berikutnya?
67%
Ya
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