Ongoing mediation efforts by the Quad (United States, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, UAE) and other actors, including a proposed three-month humanitarian truce followed by a permanent ceasefire and civilian-led political process, have not produced agreement as of August 2026. The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) have conditioned participation on Rapid Support Forces (RSF) withdrawals from key cities, while RSF statements accepting limited truces have not translated into verified nationwide halts. Battlefield dynamics, with SAF territorial gains since 2024 including the recapture of Khartoum, alongside mutual accusations of violations and external support concerns, sustain the impasse. Multiple proposals since late 2025, including from Sudan’s transitional prime minister, have been rejected or stalled, contributing to trader views that a ceasefire by late 2026 remains unlikely amid entrenched positions and absent unified enforcement mechanisms.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiSudan civil war ceasefire by...?
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?
$119,392 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
11%
$119,392 Vol.
December 31, 2026
$14,853 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Ongoing mediation efforts by the Quad (United States, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, UAE) and other actors, including a proposed three-month humanitarian truce followed by a permanent ceasefire and civilian-led political process, have not produced agreement as of August 2026. The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) have conditioned participation on Rapid Support Forces (RSF) withdrawals from key cities, while RSF statements accepting limited truces have not translated into verified nationwide halts. Battlefield dynamics, with SAF territorial gains since 2024 including the recapture of Khartoum, alongside mutual accusations of violations and external support concerns, sustain the impasse. Multiple proposals since late 2025, including from Sudan’s transitional prime minister, have been rejected or stalled, contributing to trader views that a ceasefire by late 2026 remains unlikely amid entrenched positions and absent unified enforcement mechanisms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
Volume
$119,392Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Ongoing mediation efforts by the Quad (United States, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, UAE) and other actors, including a proposed three-month humanitarian truce followed by a permanent ceasefire and civilian-led political process, have not produced agreement as of August 2026. The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) have conditioned participation on Rapid Support Forces (RSF) withdrawals from key cities, while RSF statements accepting limited truces have not translated into verified nationwide halts. Battlefield dynamics, with SAF territorial gains since 2024 including the recapture of Khartoum, alongside mutual accusations of violations and external support concerns, sustain the impasse. Multiple proposals since late 2025, including from Sudan’s transitional prime minister, have been rejected or stalled, contributing to trader views that a ceasefire by late 2026 remains unlikely amid entrenched positions and absent unified enforcement mechanisms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Volume
$119,392Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing mediation efforts by the Quad (United States, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, UAE) and other actors, including a proposed three-month humanitarian truce followed by a permanent ceasefire and civilian-led political process, have not produced agreement as of August 2026. The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) have conditioned participation on Rapid Support Forces (RSF) withdrawals from key cities, while RSF statements accepting limited truces have not translated into verified nationwide halts. Battlefield dynamics, with SAF territorial gains since 2024 including the recapture of Khartoum, alongside mutual accusations of violations and external support concerns, sustain the impasse. Multiple proposals since late 2025, including from Sudan’s transitional prime minister, have been rejected or stalled, contributing to trader views that a ceasefire by late 2026 remains unlikely amid entrenched positions and absent unified enforcement mechanisms.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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