Hungary's recent parliamentary election victory by Péter Magyar's Tisza party and the subsequent formation of a new government have intensified pressure on President Tamás Sulyok to resign. Magyar, who took office in mid-May, has repeatedly set a May 31 deadline for Sulyok and other holdovers from the prior administration, citing their ties to the defeated Fidesz government and threatening constitutional amendments or legal removal if they refuse. Sulyok's office has signaled no voluntary departure, invoking protections in the Fundamental Law. Traders assign a 64.5% probability to Sulyok leaving office by June 30, reflecting the new government's strong mandate and the short timeline for legislative action amid ongoing political transition.