Recent releases and benchmark gains in agentic capabilities—multi-step reasoning, tool use, orchestration, and long-horizon task performance—have created a tight race for third-best AI agent lab by end-October. Moonshot’s K3 and related agent swarms deliver strong cost-efficient results, while OpenAI’s public Agents API beta and internal agent productivity metrics bolster its position. Anthropic’s Claude Code Projects update for parallel cloud agents, Google DeepMind’s Gemini 3.8 Live extensions, and Z.ai’s open-weight GLM releases add competitive pressure. Chinese labs emphasize pricing and open performance, U.S. labs focus on reliability and ecosystem integration, and heavy funding rounds like Cognition’s underscore rapid iteration. Low odds for many established names reflect thinner recent agent-specific momentum ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMoonshot 41%
SpaceXAI 10.8%
Z.ai 9.3%
OpenAI 8%
$24,004 Vol.
$24,004 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
Moonshot
41%
SpaceXAI
11%
Z.ai
9%
OpenAI
8%
6%
Microsoft
4%
Alibaba
4%
Xiaomi
5%
Anthropic
4%
DeepSeek
1%
Meta
1%
Baidu
1%
MiniMax
1%
Nvidia
1%
Amazon
1%
Mistral
1%
Meituan
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Moonshot 41%
SpaceXAI 10.8%
Z.ai 9.3%
OpenAI 8%
$24,004 Vol.
$24,004 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
Moonshot
$10,352 Vol.
41%
SpaceXAI
$2,304 Vol.
11%
Z.ai
$454 Vol.
9%
OpenAI
$5,965 Vol.
8%
$295 Vol.
6%
Microsoft
$257 Vol.
4%
Alibaba
$669 Vol.
4%
Xiaomi
$262 Vol.
5%
Anthropic
$1,067 Vol.
4%
DeepSeek
$342 Vol.
1%
Meta
$234 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$229 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$229 Vol.
1%
Nvidia
$189 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$206 Vol.
1%
Mistral
$234 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$229 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$488 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent releases and benchmark gains in agentic capabilities—multi-step reasoning, tool use, orchestration, and long-horizon task performance—have created a tight race for third-best AI agent lab by end-October. Moonshot’s K3 and related agent swarms deliver strong cost-efficient results, while OpenAI’s public Agents API beta and internal agent productivity metrics bolster its position. Anthropic’s Claude Code Projects update for parallel cloud agents, Google DeepMind’s Gemini 3.8 Live extensions, and Z.ai’s open-weight GLM releases add competitive pressure. Chinese labs emphasize pricing and open performance, U.S. labs focus on reliability and ecosystem integration, and heavy funding rounds like Cognition’s underscore rapid iteration. Low odds for many established names reflect thinner recent agent-specific momentum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$24,004Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent releases and benchmark gains in agentic capabilities—multi-step reasoning, tool use, orchestration, and long-horizon task performance—have created a tight race for third-best AI agent lab by end-October. Moonshot’s K3 and related agent swarms deliver strong cost-efficient results, while OpenAI’s public Agents API beta and internal agent productivity metrics bolster its position. Anthropic’s Claude Code Projects update for parallel cloud agents, Google DeepMind’s Gemini 3.8 Live extensions, and Z.ai’s open-weight GLM releases add competitive pressure. Chinese labs emphasize pricing and open performance, U.S. labs focus on reliability and ecosystem integration, and heavy funding rounds like Cognition’s underscore rapid iteration. Low odds for many established names reflect thinner recent agent-specific momentum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$24,004Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent releases and benchmark gains in agentic capabilities—multi-step reasoning, tool use, orchestration, and long-horizon task performance—have created a tight race for third-best AI agent lab by end-October. Moonshot’s K3 and related agent swarms deliver strong cost-efficient results, while OpenAI’s public Agents API beta and internal agent productivity metrics bolster its position. Anthropic’s Claude Code Projects update for parallel cloud agents, Google DeepMind’s Gemini 3.8 Live extensions, and Z.ai’s open-weight GLM releases add competitive pressure. Chinese labs emphasize pricing and open performance, U.S. labs focus on reliability and ecosystem integration, and heavy funding rounds like Cognition’s underscore rapid iteration. Low odds for many established names reflect thinner recent agent-specific momentum ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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