High uncertainty defines trader sentiment for the third spot on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by late November, with market-implied odds near 50% for numerous labs amid rapid large language model iterations. Current rankings show Anthropic leading in math reasoning, followed closely by Google’s Gemini variants, leaving Z.ai’s GLM-5.3, Alibaba’s Qwen3 series, Moonshot’s Kimi models, Meta, OpenAI’s GPT-5.x, and DeepSeek as key contenders whose relative positioning remains fluid. Recent releases and efficiency gains by Chinese labs, alongside benchmark volatility from test-time compute scaling and new model drops, drive the tight contest. Upcoming updates or capability demonstrations before resolution could easily reorder the middle pack on this human-preference math arena.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiGoogle 28%
Z.ai 21%
Alibaba 14.3%
Meta 9.1%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
28%
Z.ai
21%
Alibaba
14%
Meta
9%
Moonshot
9%
DeepSeek
8%
StepFun
8%
Anthropic
7%
MiniMax
5%
Mistral
5%
Thinky
5%
Amazon
5%
Baidu
5%
Nvidia
4%
OpenAI
4%
Microsoft
4%
Bytedance
2%
SpaceXAI
6%
Xiaomi
1%
Meituan
1%
Tencent
8%
Google 28%
Z.ai 21%
Alibaba 14.3%
Meta 9.1%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
$72 Vol.
28%
Z.ai
$173 Vol.
21%
Alibaba
$383 Vol.
14%
Meta
$72 Vol.
9%
Moonshot
$150 Vol.
9%
DeepSeek
$127 Vol.
8%
StepFun
$560 Vol.
8%
Anthropic
$72 Vol.
7%
MiniMax
$85 Vol.
5%
Mistral
$64 Vol.
5%
Thinky
$102 Vol.
5%
Amazon
$213 Vol.
5%
Baidu
$80 Vol.
5%
Nvidia
$84 Vol.
4%
OpenAI
$78 Vol.
4%
Microsoft
$77 Vol.
4%
Bytedance
$118 Vol.
2%
SpaceXAI
$118 Vol.
6%
Xiaomi
$283 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$72 Vol.
1%
Tencent
$67 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".High uncertainty defines trader sentiment for the third spot on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by late November, with market-implied odds near 50% for numerous labs amid rapid large language model iterations. Current rankings show Anthropic leading in math reasoning, followed closely by Google’s Gemini variants, leaving Z.ai’s GLM-5.3, Alibaba’s Qwen3 series, Moonshot’s Kimi models, Meta, OpenAI’s GPT-5.x, and DeepSeek as key contenders whose relative positioning remains fluid. Recent releases and efficiency gains by Chinese labs, alongside benchmark volatility from test-time compute scaling and new model drops, drive the tight contest. Upcoming updates or capability demonstrations before resolution could easily reorder the middle pack on this human-preference math arena.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Volume
$3,050Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".High uncertainty defines trader sentiment for the third spot on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by late November, with market-implied odds near 50% for numerous labs amid rapid large language model iterations. Current rankings show Anthropic leading in math reasoning, followed closely by Google’s Gemini variants, leaving Z.ai’s GLM-5.3, Alibaba’s Qwen3 series, Moonshot’s Kimi models, Meta, OpenAI’s GPT-5.x, and DeepSeek as key contenders whose relative positioning remains fluid. Recent releases and efficiency gains by Chinese labs, alongside benchmark volatility from test-time compute scaling and new model drops, drive the tight contest. Upcoming updates or capability demonstrations before resolution could easily reorder the middle pack on this human-preference math arena.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$3,050Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...High uncertainty defines trader sentiment for the third spot on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by late November, with market-implied odds near 50% for numerous labs amid rapid large language model iterations. Current rankings show Anthropic leading in math reasoning, followed closely by Google’s Gemini variants, leaving Z.ai’s GLM-5.3, Alibaba’s Qwen3 series, Moonshot’s Kimi models, Meta, OpenAI’s GPT-5.x, and DeepSeek as key contenders whose relative positioning remains fluid. Recent releases and efficiency gains by Chinese labs, alongside benchmark volatility from test-time compute scaling and new model drops, drive the tight contest. Upcoming updates or capability demonstrations before resolution could easily reorder the middle pack on this human-preference math arena.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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