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Politik·Primer

TN-04 Republican Primary Winner

icon for TN-04 Republican Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

TN-04 Republican Primary Winner

Scott DesJarlais 89%

Tom Davis 7%

Harold "Rocky" Jones 5.4%

Joshua James 5.2%

Polymarket
BARU

Scott DesJarlais 89%

Tom Davis 7%

Harold "Rocky" Jones 5.4%

Joshua James 5.2%

Polymarket
BARU

Scott DesJarlais

$151 Vol.

89%

Tom Davis

$40 Vol.

7%

Harold "Rocky" Jones

$29 Vol.

5%

Joshua James

$29 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Scott DesJarlais holds a clear lead in the August 6, 2026, TN-04 Republican primary, supported by substantial campaign fundraising exceeding $380,000 and a Trump endorsement that bolsters his position among primary voters. The district, redrawn in May 2026, remains strongly Republican with a partisan lean favoring the incumbent, who has won prior primaries by wide margins. Challengers including Tom Davis, Joshua James, and Harold "Rocky" Jones have declared but trail significantly in resources and name recognition. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with these structural advantages for the sitting representative, though the short timeline to the primary leaves room for late shifts in voter turnout or additional endorsements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$248
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Scott DesJarlais holds a clear lead in the August 6, 2026, TN-04 Republican primary, supported by substantial campaign fundraising exceeding $380,000 and a Trump endorsement that bolsters his position among primary voters. The district, redrawn in May 2026, remains strongly Republican with a partisan lean favoring the incumbent, who has won prior primaries by wide margins. Challengers including Tom Davis, Joshua James, and Harold "Rocky" Jones have declared but trail significantly in resources and name recognition. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with these structural advantages for the sitting representative, though the short timeline to the primary leaves room for late shifts in voter turnout or additional endorsements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$248
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"TN-04 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Scott DesJarlais" di 89%, diikuti oleh "Tom Davis" di 7%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 89¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 89% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"TN-04 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jul 23, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "TN-04 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "TN-04 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Scott DesJarlais" di 89%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 89% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Tom Davis" di 7%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "TN-04 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.