**US-Turkey efforts to resolve Turkey’s exclusion from the F-35 program remain centered on compliance with CAATSA and Section 1245 of the FY2020 NDAA, which bar transfers until Ankara no longer possesses its S-400 system and provides credible assurances against future Russian acquisitions.** As of late August 2026, a July 22 State Department letter confirmed Turkey has not met these statutory conditions, despite President Trump’s public statements during July NATO-summit meetings with President Erdogan indicating willingness to lift sanctions and consider sales. Turkish officials have described ongoing working-group talks and potential third-party transfer of the S-400 batteries as paths forward, while separate engine exports for Turkey’s KAAN fighter have advanced. Congressional opposition, concerns from Israel and Greece over regional balances, and the requirement for formal certification continue to constrain progress. No resolution has occurred in the past month.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$43,461 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
10%
June 30, 2027
26%
$43,461 Vol.
December 31, 2026
$31,959 Vol.
10%
June 30, 2027
$11,502 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.**US-Turkey efforts to resolve Turkey’s exclusion from the F-35 program remain centered on compliance with CAATSA and Section 1245 of the FY2020 NDAA, which bar transfers until Ankara no longer possesses its S-400 system and provides credible assurances against future Russian acquisitions.**
As of late August 2026, a July 22 State Department letter confirmed Turkey has not met these statutory conditions, despite President Trump’s public statements during July NATO-summit meetings with President Erdogan indicating willingness to lift sanctions and consider sales. Turkish officials have described ongoing working-group talks and potential third-party transfer of the S-400 batteries as paths forward, while separate engine exports for Turkey’s KAAN fighter have advanced. Congressional opposition, concerns from Israel and Greece over regional balances, and the requirement for formal certification continue to constrain progress. No resolution has occurred in the past month.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ET
Volume
$43,461Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.**US-Turkey efforts to resolve Turkey’s exclusion from the F-35 program remain centered on compliance with CAATSA and Section 1245 of the FY2020 NDAA, which bar transfers until Ankara no longer possesses its S-400 system and provides credible assurances against future Russian acquisitions.**
As of late August 2026, a July 22 State Department letter confirmed Turkey has not met these statutory conditions, despite President Trump’s public statements during July NATO-summit meetings with President Erdogan indicating willingness to lift sanctions and consider sales. Turkish officials have described ongoing working-group talks and potential third-party transfer of the S-400 batteries as paths forward, while separate engine exports for Turkey’s KAAN fighter have advanced. Congressional opposition, concerns from Israel and Greece over regional balances, and the requirement for formal certification continue to constrain progress. No resolution has occurred in the past month.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Volume
$43,461Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**US-Turkey efforts to resolve Turkey’s exclusion from the F-35 program remain centered on compliance with CAATSA and Section 1245 of the FY2020 NDAA, which bar transfers until Ankara no longer possesses its S-400 system and provides credible assurances against future Russian acquisitions.** As of late August 2026, a July 22 State Department letter confirmed Turkey has not met these statutory conditions, despite President Trump’s public statements during July NATO-summit meetings with President Erdogan indicating willingness to lift sanctions and consider sales. Turkish officials have described ongoing working-group talks and potential third-party transfer of the S-400 batteries as paths forward, while separate engine exports for Turkey’s KAAN fighter have advanced. Congressional opposition, concerns from Israel and Greece over regional balances, and the requirement for formal certification continue to constrain progress. No resolution has occurred in the past month.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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