Trader consensus favors no announcement of a Turkish constitutional referendum in 2026 at 66.5%, reflecting the absence of any official declaration midway through the year despite prior signals. President Erdoğan's Justice and Development Party (AKP) formed a constitutional commission and submitted reform proposals by late December 2025, while he dubbed 2026 the "year of reform" in January amid parliamentary seat gains. However, the main opposition Republican People's Party (CHP) boycotted talks in June 2025, complicating the 360-vote threshold in the Grand National Assembly needed to trigger a referendum on amendments like presidential term extensions. Recent focus has shifted to economic measures addressing pensioner discontent, with no fresh legislative momentum or coalition breakthroughs in the past 30 days underscoring gridlock.
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Dec 31, 2026
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Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors no announcement of a Turkish constitutional referendum in 2026 at 66.5%, reflecting the absence of any official declaration midway through the year despite prior signals. President Erdoğan's Justice and Development Party (AKP) formed a constitutional commission and submitted reform proposals by late December 2025, while he dubbed 2026 the "year of reform" in January amid parliamentary seat gains. However, the main opposition Republican People's Party (CHP) boycotted talks in June 2025, complicating the 360-vote threshold in the Grand National Assembly needed to trigger a referendum on amendments like presidential term extensions. Recent focus has shifted to economic measures addressing pensioner discontent, with no fresh legislative momentum or coalition breakthroughs in the past 30 days underscoring gridlock.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Volume
$529Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors no announcement of a Turkish constitutional referendum in 2026 at 66.5%, reflecting the absence of any official declaration midway through the year despite prior signals. President Erdoğan's Justice and Development Party (AKP) formed a constitutional commission and submitted reform proposals by late December 2025, while he dubbed 2026 the "year of reform" in January amid parliamentary seat gains. However, the main opposition Republican People's Party (CHP) boycotted talks in June 2025, complicating the 360-vote threshold in the Grand National Assembly needed to trigger a referendum on amendments like presidential term extensions. Recent focus has shifted to economic measures addressing pensioner discontent, with no fresh legislative momentum or coalition breakthroughs in the past 30 days underscoring gridlock.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$529Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors no announcement of a Turkish constitutional referendum in 2026 at 66.5%, reflecting the absence of any official declaration midway through the year despite prior signals. President Erdoğan's Justice and Development Party (AKP) formed a constitutional commission and submitted reform proposals by late December 2025, while he dubbed 2026 the "year of reform" in January amid parliamentary seat gains. However, the main opposition Republican People's Party (CHP) boycotted talks in June 2025, complicating the 360-vote threshold in the Grand National Assembly needed to trigger a referendum on amendments like presidential term extensions. Recent focus has shifted to economic measures addressing pensioner discontent, with no fresh legislative momentum or coalition breakthroughs in the past 30 days underscoring gridlock.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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