**President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan renewed calls on October 1, 2026, for a new civilian constitution to replace the 1982 charter, framing the current parliamentary term as a “year of the Constitution” and citing recent cross-party support for the “Terror-Free Türkiye” framework law as evidence consensus is possible.** His Justice and Development Party alliance controls roughly 326 seats in the 600-seat Grand National Assembly—well short of the 360 needed for early elections or the 400 required to enact changes without a referendum—making opposition cooperation essential. No draft text, specific amendments, or referendum timetable has been presented, and earlier 2026 party commissions have not produced an announced public vote. These structural thresholds and the emphasis on preparatory dialogue rather than immediate action underpin trader expectations that no referendum will be formally announced before the end of 2026.