President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's ruling coalition holds roughly 321 seats in Turkey's 600-seat parliament, short of the 360 needed to advance a new constitution to a referendum. Optimistic statements from AKP leaders and Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş in June 2026 about possible adoption in 2026-2027 have kept the topic active following the 2025 appointment of a legal drafting team, yet no parliamentary votes or official referendum announcement have occurred. Securing additional support from opposition parties remains uncertain amid ongoing debates over term limits and institutional changes, leaving the process short of the threshold for a 2026 public vote. Traders therefore price a low likelihood of an announcement by year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui14% peluang
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Dec 30, 2026
14% peluang
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Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's ruling coalition holds roughly 321 seats in Turkey's 600-seat parliament, short of the 360 needed to advance a new constitution to a referendum. Optimistic statements from AKP leaders and Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş in June 2026 about possible adoption in 2026-2027 have kept the topic active following the 2025 appointment of a legal drafting team, yet no parliamentary votes or official referendum announcement have occurred. Securing additional support from opposition parties remains uncertain amid ongoing debates over term limits and institutional changes, leaving the process short of the threshold for a 2026 public vote. Traders therefore price a low likelihood of an announcement by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Volume
$6,734Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's ruling coalition holds roughly 321 seats in Turkey's 600-seat parliament, short of the 360 needed to advance a new constitution to a referendum. Optimistic statements from AKP leaders and Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş in June 2026 about possible adoption in 2026-2027 have kept the topic active following the 2025 appointment of a legal drafting team, yet no parliamentary votes or official referendum announcement have occurred. Securing additional support from opposition parties remains uncertain amid ongoing debates over term limits and institutional changes, leaving the process short of the threshold for a 2026 public vote. Traders therefore price a low likelihood of an announcement by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,734Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's ruling coalition holds roughly 321 seats in Turkey's 600-seat parliament, short of the 360 needed to advance a new constitution to a referendum. Optimistic statements from AKP leaders and Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş in June 2026 about possible adoption in 2026-2027 have kept the topic active following the 2025 appointment of a legal drafting team, yet no parliamentary votes or official referendum announcement have occurred. Securing additional support from opposition parties remains uncertain amid ongoing debates over term limits and institutional changes, leaving the process short of the threshold for a 2026 public vote. Traders therefore price a low likelihood of an announcement by year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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