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Pemilihan Umum·Primer

TX-38 Republican Primary Winner

icon for TX-38 Republican Primary Winner
Pemilihan Umum·Primer

TX-38 Republican Primary Winner

Jon Bonck 95.7%

Shelly deZevallos 2.7%

Barrett McNabb 2.3%

Jennifer Sundt <1%

Polymarket

$40,027 Vol.

Jon Bonck 95.7%

Shelly deZevallos 2.7%

Barrett McNabb 2.3%

Jennifer Sundt <1%

Polymarket

$40,027 Vol.

Jon Bonck

$18,506 Vol.

96%

Shelly deZevallos

$3,399 Vol.

3%

Barrett McNabb

$1,838 Vol.

2%

Jennifer Sundt

$2,527 Vol.

1%

Jeff Yuna

$2,697 Vol.

1%

Carmen Montiel

$1,634 Vol.

1%

Craig Goralski

$1,711 Vol.

1%

Avery Ayers

$2,521 Vol.

<1%

Larry Rubin

$2,305 Vol.

<1%

Michael Pratt

$2,890 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary runoff for Texas' 38th Congressional District, reflecting trader consensus on his strong first-round performance, substantial fundraising edge, and high-profile endorsements from President Donald Trump and Senator Ted Cruz. Bonck advanced from the March 3 primary with nearly 48 percent of the vote against a crowded field, while Shelly deZevallos finished second with under 19 percent and now faces him on May 26. DeZevallos brings local government experience as West Houston Airport president, yet Bonck's advantages in resources and party support have kept other candidates' odds minimal. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or new endorsements could narrow the gap, though structural factors favor the frontrunner in this solidly Republican Houston-area seat.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$40,027
Tanggal Berakhir
May 26, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary runoff for Texas' 38th Congressional District, reflecting trader consensus on his strong first-round performance, substantial fundraising edge, and high-profile endorsements from President Donald Trump and Senator Ted Cruz. Bonck advanced from the March 3 primary with nearly 48 percent of the vote against a crowded field, while Shelly deZevallos finished second with under 19 percent and now faces him on May 26. DeZevallos brings local government experience as West Houston Airport president, yet Bonck's advantages in resources and party support have kept other candidates' odds minimal. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or new endorsements could narrow the gap, though structural factors favor the frontrunner in this solidly Republican Houston-area seat.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$40,027
Tanggal Berakhir
May 26, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"TX-38 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 10 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Jon Bonck" di 96%, diikuti oleh "Shelly deZevallos" di 3%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 96¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 96% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "TX-38 Republican Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $40K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Feb 6, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "TX-38 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 10 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "TX-38 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Jon Bonck" di 96%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 96% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Shelly deZevallos" di 3%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "TX-38 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.