Persistent territorial disputes and security guarantee disagreements continue to block any comprehensive Ukraine-Russia agreement, with Russia insisting on major concessions including parts of Donbas and Ukraine seeking robust, long-term Western assurances exceeding recent U.S. proposals. Multiple rounds of U.S.-mediated talks through early 2026 in Abu Dhabi and Geneva produced no breakthrough, and as of late July Kremlin statements indicated no tangible new proposals while Ukrainian officials highlighted ongoing long-range drone strikes as leverage but without signs of imminent compromise. With the war entering its fifth year and incompatible positions on core issues, traders assess limited prospects for a signed deal by year-end despite intermittent diplomatic signals.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui18% peluang
$2,546,260 Vol.
$2,546,260 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
18% peluang
$2,546,260 Vol.
$2,546,260 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Persistent territorial disputes and security guarantee disagreements continue to block any comprehensive Ukraine-Russia agreement, with Russia insisting on major concessions including parts of Donbas and Ukraine seeking robust, long-term Western assurances exceeding recent U.S. proposals. Multiple rounds of U.S.-mediated talks through early 2026 in Abu Dhabi and Geneva produced no breakthrough, and as of late July Kremlin statements indicated no tangible new proposals while Ukrainian officials highlighted ongoing long-range drone strikes as leverage but without signs of imminent compromise. With the war entering its fifth year and incompatible positions on core issues, traders assess limited prospects for a signed deal by year-end despite intermittent diplomatic signals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ET
Volume
$2,546,260Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Persistent territorial disputes and security guarantee disagreements continue to block any comprehensive Ukraine-Russia agreement, with Russia insisting on major concessions including parts of Donbas and Ukraine seeking robust, long-term Western assurances exceeding recent U.S. proposals. Multiple rounds of U.S.-mediated talks through early 2026 in Abu Dhabi and Geneva produced no breakthrough, and as of late July Kremlin statements indicated no tangible new proposals while Ukrainian officials highlighted ongoing long-range drone strikes as leverage but without signs of imminent compromise. With the war entering its fifth year and incompatible positions on core issues, traders assess limited prospects for a signed deal by year-end despite intermittent diplomatic signals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,546,260Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent territorial disputes and security guarantee disagreements continue to block any comprehensive Ukraine-Russia agreement, with Russia insisting on major concessions including parts of Donbas and Ukraine seeking robust, long-term Western assurances exceeding recent U.S. proposals. Multiple rounds of U.S.-mediated talks through early 2026 in Abu Dhabi and Geneva produced no breakthrough, and as of late July Kremlin statements indicated no tangible new proposals while Ukrainian officials highlighted ongoing long-range drone strikes as leverage but without signs of imminent compromise. With the war entering its fifth year and incompatible positions on core issues, traders assess limited prospects for a signed deal by year-end despite intermittent diplomatic signals.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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