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icon for U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

icon for U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

94% peluang
Polymarket

$14,450 Vol.

94% peluang
Polymarket

$14,450 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information. **The U.S. State Department announced in late April 2026 plans for a limited-edition passport redesign featuring President Trump's portrait and signature on an interior page, tied to the nation's 250th anniversary commemorations in July.** The design places the image over Declaration of Independence text, with issuance slated to begin this summer via the Washington Passport Agency as the default for in-person renewals there. This official action by the agency responsible for passport production and distribution directly supports the current trader consensus around a 78% implied probability of issuance by July 31, 2026. No subsequent procedural delays, funding issues, or successful legal challenges have emerged in the intervening weeks to alter the timeline. While some lawmakers have voiced opposition and called for halting the project, the administration has proceeded with the approved mockups and rollout schedule. The outcome hinges on whether the first batches reach applicants before the market's cutoff, consistent with standard federal agency execution of commemorative designs.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
Volume
$14,450
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information. **The U.S. State Department announced in late April 2026 plans for a limited-edition passport redesign featuring President Trump's portrait and signature on an interior page, tied to the nation's 250th anniversary commemorations in July.** The design places the image over Declaration of Independence text, with issuance slated to begin this summer via the Washington Passport Agency as the default for in-person renewals there. This official action by the agency responsible for passport production and distribution directly supports the current trader consensus around a 78% implied probability of issuance by July 31, 2026. No subsequent procedural delays, funding issues, or successful legal challenges have emerged in the intervening weeks to alter the timeline. While some lawmakers have voiced opposition and called for halting the project, the administration has proceeded with the approved mockups and rollout schedule. The outcome hinges on whether the first batches reach applicants before the market's cutoff, consistent with standard federal agency execution of commemorative designs.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
Volume
$14,450
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 94% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 94¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 94% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?" telah menghasilkan $14.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 28, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?" adalah 94% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 94% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.