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icon for U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?
Politik·Trump

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

icon for U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?
Politik·Trump

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

85% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
85% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information. The U.S. State Department's April 28 announcement of a limited-edition "America250" passport design, featuring President Trump's portrait and gold signature overlaid on the Declaration of Independence inside the cover, has driven trader consensus to an 84.5% implied probability for issuance by July 31. This commemorative edition marks the nation's 250th anniversary on July 4, with official renderings shared via outlets like Fox News and Politico, confirming production plans for summer release—primarily available through Washington, D.C., applications. No delays or legal challenges have emerged in the past two weeks, bolstering confidence in timely rollout, though limited supply and standard redesign precedents temper absolute certainty.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
Volume
$8,895
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information. The U.S. State Department's April 28 announcement of a limited-edition "America250" passport design, featuring President Trump's portrait and gold signature overlaid on the Declaration of Independence inside the cover, has driven trader consensus to an 84.5% implied probability for issuance by July 31. This commemorative edition marks the nation's 250th anniversary on July 4, with official renderings shared via outlets like Fox News and Politico, confirming production plans for summer release—primarily available through Washington, D.C., applications. No delays or legal challenges have emerged in the past two weeks, bolstering confidence in timely rollout, though limited supply and standard redesign precedents temper absolute certainty.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
Volume
$8,895
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 85% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 85¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 85% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Apr 28, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?" adalah 85% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 85% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.