Recent data show Denver metro typical home values holding near $560,000 with modest year-over-year softening amid elevated mortgage rates near 7% and rising inventory that reached roughly 4.8 months of supply by September. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched market-implied odds places the highest probability on a December 31 reading at or above $482,000, while the cluster of bins between $458,000 and $482,000 captures the balance of outcomes consistent with continued price stability or modest further adjustment. Key swing factors include seasonal fourth-quarter transaction slowdowns, potential rate-related concessions, and any late-year shifts in buyer demand or new listings that could push the final median toward the upper or lower end of the observed range.