The Trump administration's shift toward converting CHIPS Act and related incentives into direct minority equity stakes has driven trader positioning on companies likely to receive federal ownership by December 2026. This approach, applied to secure domestic supply chains in semiconductors, critical minerals, quantum computing, and defense, has already produced confirmed positions including a roughly 10 percent stake in Intel, a 15 percent holding in MP Materials, a golden share in U.S. Steel, and multiple letters of intent for quantum firms such as GlobalFoundries, D-Wave, Rigetti, and others totaling up to $2 billion in May 2026. Markets price probabilities according to sector exposure, announced policy pipelines, and remaining resolution windows, with further Commerce, Defense, and Energy Department deals expected to expand the portfolio before year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$169,485 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
GlobalFoundries
86%
D-Wave
79%
Rigetti
71%
Unusual Machines
52%
Anduril
29%
IonQ
21%
OpenAI
25%
Boeing
17%
Anthropic
17%
Nvidia
16%
TSMC
14%
Palantir
13%
Eli Lilly
11%
SpaceX
11%
Freeport-McMoRan
9%
Micron
8%
Pfizer
7%
Samsung Electronics
5%
TikTok US / Bytedance
3%
Lockheed Martin
44%
$169,485 Vol.
GlobalFoundries
$6,121 Vol.
86%
D-Wave
$3,814 Vol.
79%
Rigetti
$24,675 Vol.
71%
Unusual Machines
$3 Vol.
52%
Anduril
$42,285 Vol.
29%
IonQ
$2,411 Vol.
21%
OpenAI
$9,969 Vol.
25%
Boeing
$9,766 Vol.
17%
Anthropic
$5,688 Vol.
17%
Nvidia
$15,707 Vol.
16%
TSMC
$14,203 Vol.
14%
Palantir
$3,269 Vol.
13%
Eli Lilly
$2,888 Vol.
11%
SpaceX
$18 Vol.
11%
Freeport-McMoRan
$2,855 Vol.
9%
Micron
$1,494 Vol.
8%
Pfizer
$6,134 Vol.
7%
Samsung Electronics
$10,118 Vol.
5%
TikTok US / Bytedance
$5,971 Vol.
3%
Lockheed Martin
$2,096 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g., a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements that do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration's shift toward converting CHIPS Act and related incentives into direct minority equity stakes has driven trader positioning on companies likely to receive federal ownership by December 2026. This approach, applied to secure domestic supply chains in semiconductors, critical minerals, quantum computing, and defense, has already produced confirmed positions including a roughly 10 percent stake in Intel, a 15 percent holding in MP Materials, a golden share in U.S. Steel, and multiple letters of intent for quantum firms such as GlobalFoundries, D-Wave, Rigetti, and others totaling up to $2 billion in May 2026. Markets price probabilities according to sector exposure, announced policy pipelines, and remaining resolution windows, with further Commerce, Defense, and Energy Department deals expected to expand the portfolio before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
Volume
$169,485Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g., a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements that do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration's shift toward converting CHIPS Act and related incentives into direct minority equity stakes has driven trader positioning on companies likely to receive federal ownership by December 2026. This approach, applied to secure domestic supply chains in semiconductors, critical minerals, quantum computing, and defense, has already produced confirmed positions including a roughly 10 percent stake in Intel, a 15 percent holding in MP Materials, a golden share in U.S. Steel, and multiple letters of intent for quantum firms such as GlobalFoundries, D-Wave, Rigetti, and others totaling up to $2 billion in May 2026. Markets price probabilities according to sector exposure, announced policy pipelines, and remaining resolution windows, with further Commerce, Defense, and Energy Department deals expected to expand the portfolio before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$169,485Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration's shift toward converting CHIPS Act and related incentives into direct minority equity stakes has driven trader positioning on companies likely to receive federal ownership by December 2026. This approach, applied to secure domestic supply chains in semiconductors, critical minerals, quantum computing, and defense, has already produced confirmed positions including a roughly 10 percent stake in Intel, a 15 percent holding in MP Materials, a golden share in U.S. Steel, and multiple letters of intent for quantum firms such as GlobalFoundries, D-Wave, Rigetti, and others totaling up to $2 billion in May 2026. Markets price probabilities according to sector exposure, announced policy pipelines, and remaining resolution windows, with further Commerce, Defense, and Energy Department deals expected to expand the portfolio before year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan