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icon for Partai mana yang akan mendapatkan kursi terbanyak dalam Pemilihan Parlemen Rusia?
Pemilihan Umum·Pemilihan Umum Global

Partai mana yang akan mendapatkan kursi terbanyak dalam Pemilihan Parlemen Rusia?

icon for Partai mana yang akan mendapatkan kursi terbanyak dalam Pemilihan Parlemen Rusia?
Pemilihan Umum·Pemilihan Umum Global

Partai mana yang akan mendapatkan kursi terbanyak dalam Pemilihan Parlemen Rusia?

Rusia Bersatu (ER) 67%

New People (NL) 24.5%

Partai Demokrat Liberal Rusia (LDPR) 4.6%

Partai Komunis Federasi Rusia (KPRF) 2.4%

Polymarket

$16,775,119 Vol.

Rusia Bersatu (ER) 67%

New People (NL) 24.5%

Partai Demokrat Liberal Rusia (LDPR) 4.6%

Partai Komunis Federasi Rusia (KPRF) 2.4%

Polymarket

$16,775,119 Vol.

icon for Rusia Bersatu (ER)

Rusia Bersatu (ER)

$6,226,835 Vol.

67%

icon for New People (NL)

New People (NL)

$1,853,107 Vol.

25%

icon for Partai Demokrat Liberal Rusia (LDPR)

Partai Demokrat Liberal Rusia (LDPR)

$3,032,844 Vol.

5%

icon for Partai Komunis Federasi Rusia (KPRF)

Partai Komunis Federasi Rusia (KPRF)

$1,168,203 Vol.

2%

icon for A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)

$1,217,282 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rodina

Rodina

$2,016,194 Vol.

<1%

icon for Platform Sipil (GP)

Platform Sipil (GP)

$1,260,653 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding position as the ruling party with extensive administrative resources, regional structures, and alignment with the Kremlin ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote, supporting its 66.5% market-implied probability of securing the most seats. Recent polling from VCIOM shows New People holding steady second place around 11–13% support, ahead of the CPRF and LDPR in several surveys, reflecting modest momentum for the younger party as a systemic alternative amid economic pressures and wartime conditions. Discrepancies across pollsters like FOM and methodological differences highlight uncertainty, while the broader managed system and three-day voting format reinforce expectations of continuity. LDPR, CPRF, and smaller parties trail due to limited recent gains and structural constraints.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$16,775,119
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding position as the ruling party with extensive administrative resources, regional structures, and alignment with the Kremlin ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote, supporting its 66.5% market-implied probability of securing the most seats. Recent polling from VCIOM shows New People holding steady second place around 11–13% support, ahead of the CPRF and LDPR in several surveys, reflecting modest momentum for the younger party as a systemic alternative amid economic pressures and wartime conditions. Discrepancies across pollsters like FOM and methodological differences highlight uncertainty, while the broader managed system and three-day voting format reinforce expectations of continuity. LDPR, CPRF, and smaller parties trail due to limited recent gains and structural constraints.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$16,775,119
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Terkait

icon for Apakah Rusia Bersatu (ER) akan memenangkan kursi terbanyak dalam pemilihan parlemen Rusia berikutnya?

Apakah Rusia Bersatu (ER) akan memenangkan kursi terbanyak dalam pemilihan parlemen Rusia berikutnya?

98%
Ya
icon for Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

44%
icon for Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

86%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Partai mana yang akan mendapatkan kursi terbanyak dalam Pemilihan Parlemen Rusia?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Rusia Bersatu (ER)" di 67%, diikuti oleh "New People (NL)" di 25%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 67¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 67% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Partai mana yang akan mendapatkan kursi terbanyak dalam Pemilihan Parlemen Rusia?" telah menghasilkan $16.8 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 7, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Partai mana yang akan mendapatkan kursi terbanyak dalam Pemilihan Parlemen Rusia?," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Partai mana yang akan mendapatkan kursi terbanyak dalam Pemilihan Parlemen Rusia?" adalah "Rusia Bersatu (ER)" di 67%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 67% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "New People (NL)" di 25%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Partai mana yang akan mendapatkan kursi terbanyak dalam Pemilihan Parlemen Rusia?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.