The June 2 top-two primary for California's open gubernatorial seat features a fragmented Democratic field facing two prominent Republicans, with recent Emerson College polling showing former HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra at 19 percent, followed closely by Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer at 17 percent each. Trump's endorsement of Hilton has helped consolidate Republican support behind the former Fox News host, reducing the risk that two GOP candidates advance, while Becerra's late surge has narrowed the gap among Democrats including Katie Porter and Antonio Villaraigosa. Mail ballots have begun arriving, and a final debate highlighted attacks on the frontrunners' records and endorsements. With roughly one in eight voters still undecided and high name recognition playing a key role in the nonpartisan contest, the outcome hinges on turnout among late-deciding voters and any final shifts in the crowded field before election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$661,188 Vol.
Steve Hilton
74%
Xavier Becerra
68%
Tom Steyer
46%
Matt Mahan
7%
Jimmy Parker
3%
Ethan Agarwal
3%
Chad Bianco
3%
Elaine Culotti
2%
Ryan Tillman
2%
Antonio Villaraigosa
2%
David Thelen
2%
Katie Porter
2%
Nicki Minaj
2%
Ché Ahn
2%
Thunder Parley
2%
Ian Calderon
2%
Raji Rab
1%
Zoltan Istvan
1%
Brandon Jones
1%
Kyle Langford
1%
Betty Yee
1%
Leonard Jackson
1%
Butch Ware
1%
Carolina Buhler
1%
Derek Grasty
1%
Eric Swalwell
1%
Tony Thurmond
1%
Sophia Brink
1%
Daniel Mercuri
1%
Javen Allen
7%
David Serpa
1%
Ramsey Robinson
1%
Nicholas Thompson
1%
Dylan Colbert
1%
Leo Zacky
1%
Sharifah Hardie
<1%
$661,188 Vol.
Steve Hilton
74%
Xavier Becerra
68%
Tom Steyer
46%
Matt Mahan
7%
Jimmy Parker
3%
Ethan Agarwal
3%
Chad Bianco
3%
Elaine Culotti
2%
Ryan Tillman
2%
Antonio Villaraigosa
2%
David Thelen
2%
Katie Porter
2%
Nicki Minaj
2%
Ché Ahn
2%
Thunder Parley
2%
Ian Calderon
2%
Raji Rab
1%
Zoltan Istvan
1%
Brandon Jones
1%
Kyle Langford
1%
Betty Yee
1%
Leonard Jackson
1%
Butch Ware
1%
Carolina Buhler
1%
Derek Grasty
1%
Eric Swalwell
1%
Tony Thurmond
1%
Sophia Brink
1%
Daniel Mercuri
1%
Javen Allen
7%
David Serpa
1%
Ramsey Robinson
1%
Nicholas Thompson
1%
Dylan Colbert
1%
Leo Zacky
1%
Sharifah Hardie
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The June 2 top-two primary for California's open gubernatorial seat features a fragmented Democratic field facing two prominent Republicans, with recent Emerson College polling showing former HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra at 19 percent, followed closely by Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer at 17 percent each. Trump's endorsement of Hilton has helped consolidate Republican support behind the former Fox News host, reducing the risk that two GOP candidates advance, while Becerra's late surge has narrowed the gap among Democrats including Katie Porter and Antonio Villaraigosa. Mail ballots have begun arriving, and a final debate highlighted attacks on the frontrunners' records and endorsements. With roughly one in eight voters still undecided and high name recognition playing a key role in the nonpartisan contest, the outcome hinges on turnout among late-deciding voters and any final shifts in the crowded field before election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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