Ongoing US-Iran negotiations remain stalled amid disputes over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear verification, following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum signed remotely by President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian. Recent technical talks in Switzerland produced limited progress before breaking down, with Iran emphasizing Oman-mediated channels and denying plans for direct high-level engagement, while Trump asserts ongoing discussions and sets informal deadlines. A fragile ceasefire faces expiration risks, and mediators from Pakistan and Qatar continue facilitation efforts. Any new round by year-end would likely involve senior US officials such as Vice President JD Vance or State Department representatives alongside Iranian counterparts, contingent on breakthroughs in asset releases or blockade adjustments; prolonged deadlock could favor indirect formats or third-party venues instead.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$144,713 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Steve Witkoff
63%
Jared Kushner
66%
Abbas Araghchi
48%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
52%
J.D. Vance
44%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
35%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
34%
Masoud Pezeshkian
29%
Rafael Grossi
30%
Marco Rubio
42%
Ishaq Dar
34%
Kazem Gharibabadi
21%
Nick Stewart
19%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
15%
Donald Trump
12%
Esmail Qaani
12%
Ahmad Vahidi
7%
Pete Hegseth
6%
Mojtaba Khamenei
5%
$144,713 Vol.
Steve Witkoff
$6,979 Vol.
63%
Jared Kushner
$7,972 Vol.
66%
Abbas Araghchi
$5,190 Vol.
48%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$8,544 Vol.
52%
J.D. Vance
$11,097 Vol.
44%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$8,645 Vol.
35%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$11,231 Vol.
34%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$7,906 Vol.
29%
Rafael Grossi
$5,824 Vol.
30%
Marco Rubio
$7,437 Vol.
42%
Ishaq Dar
$5,470 Vol.
34%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$14,348 Vol.
21%
Nick Stewart
$1,707 Vol.
19%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$9,410 Vol.
15%
Donald Trump
$59 Vol.
12%
Esmail Qaani
$9,064 Vol.
12%
Ahmad Vahidi
$2,181 Vol.
7%
Pete Hegseth
$2,478 Vol.
6%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$19,171 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations remain stalled amid disputes over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear verification, following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum signed remotely by President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian. Recent technical talks in Switzerland produced limited progress before breaking down, with Iran emphasizing Oman-mediated channels and denying plans for direct high-level engagement, while Trump asserts ongoing discussions and sets informal deadlines. A fragile ceasefire faces expiration risks, and mediators from Pakistan and Qatar continue facilitation efforts. Any new round by year-end would likely involve senior US officials such as Vice President JD Vance or State Department representatives alongside Iranian counterparts, contingent on breakthroughs in asset releases or blockade adjustments; prolonged deadlock could favor indirect formats or third-party venues instead.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Volume
$144,713Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations remain stalled amid disputes over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear verification, following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum signed remotely by President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian. Recent technical talks in Switzerland produced limited progress before breaking down, with Iran emphasizing Oman-mediated channels and denying plans for direct high-level engagement, while Trump asserts ongoing discussions and sets informal deadlines. A fragile ceasefire faces expiration risks, and mediators from Pakistan and Qatar continue facilitation efforts. Any new round by year-end would likely involve senior US officials such as Vice President JD Vance or State Department representatives alongside Iranian counterparts, contingent on breakthroughs in asset releases or blockade adjustments; prolonged deadlock could favor indirect formats or third-party venues instead.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$144,713Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran negotiations remain stalled amid disputes over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear verification, following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum signed remotely by President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian. Recent technical talks in Switzerland produced limited progress before breaking down, with Iran emphasizing Oman-mediated channels and denying plans for direct high-level engagement, while Trump asserts ongoing discussions and sets informal deadlines. A fragile ceasefire faces expiration risks, and mediators from Pakistan and Qatar continue facilitation efforts. Any new round by year-end would likely involve senior US officials such as Vice President JD Vance or State Department representatives alongside Iranian counterparts, contingent on breakthroughs in asset releases or blockade adjustments; prolonged deadlock could favor indirect formats or third-party venues instead.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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