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Will gas hit __ by end of May?

icon for Will gas hit __ by end of May?

Will gas hit __ by end of May?

May 31

May 31

$139,951 Vol.

May 31, 2026
Polymarket

$139,951 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $5.00

$21,513 Vol.

14%

↑ $4.70

$11,417 Vol.

52%

↑ $4.60

$11,506 Vol.

67%

↓ $4.25

$2,466 Vol.

14%

↓ $4.20

$1,860 Vol.

16%

↓ $4.10

$796 Vol.

13%

↓ $4.00

$884 Vol.

9%

↓ $3.75

$1,486 Vol.

3%

↓ $3.50

$6,945 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated crude oil benchmarks and seasonal summer driving demand have pushed U.S. regular gasoline prices to national averages near $4.50 per gallon in mid-May 2026, sustaining trader focus on whether levels will hold above common resolution thresholds through month-end. Recent weekly advances of five cents stem from refinery maintenance reducing supply and firm global oil prices supporting margins. Although the EIA forecasts a 2026 annual average near $3.70 per gallon, near-term AAA data shows prices well above that baseline amid resilient consumption. Upcoming factors include crude inventory releases, potential weather-driven demand shifts, and any late-month refinery restarts that could alter the final settlement trajectory before end-of-May resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$139,951
Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated crude oil benchmarks and seasonal summer driving demand have pushed U.S. regular gasoline prices to national averages near $4.50 per gallon in mid-May 2026, sustaining trader focus on whether levels will hold above common resolution thresholds through month-end. Recent weekly advances of five cents stem from refinery maintenance reducing supply and firm global oil prices supporting margins. Although the EIA forecasts a 2026 annual average near $3.70 per gallon, near-term AAA data shows prices well above that baseline amid resilient consumption. Upcoming factors include crude inventory releases, potential weather-driven demand shifts, and any late-month refinery restarts that could alter the final settlement trajectory before end-of-May resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$139,951
Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will gas hit __ by end of May?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 13 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "↑ $4.50" di 100%, diikuti oleh "↑ $4.45" di 100%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Will gas hit __ by end of May?" telah menghasilkan $140K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 30, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Will gas hit __ by end of May?," jelajahi 13 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Will gas hit __ by end of May?" adalah "↑ $4.50" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "↑ $4.45" di 100%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will gas hit __ by end of May?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.