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icon for Akankah Misi Bulan DOGE -1 diluncurkan sebelum 2027?

Akankah Misi Bulan DOGE -1 diluncurkan sebelum 2027?

icon for Akankah Misi Bulan DOGE -1 diluncurkan sebelum 2027?

Akankah Misi Bulan DOGE -1 diluncurkan sebelum 2027?

Ya

8% peluang
Polymarket

$800,697 Vol.

Ya

8% peluang
Polymarket

$800,697 Vol.

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.Persistent delays since the 2021 announcement, including repeated rideshare conflicts with Intuitive Machines missions and hardware integration setbacks resolved only in late 2025, have pushed the 40 kg CubeSat's Falcon 9 launch window to September 2026 or later. Current manifest alignment at Kennedy Space Center and ongoing payload readiness reviews introduce realistic slippage risks into 2027, given SpaceX's crowded schedule and historical average 12-18 month overruns for similar smallsat lunar rideshares. While optimal lunar alignment windows and final launch readiness checks in mid-2026 could accelerate timelines, traders assign high probability to further postponements based on past patterns and technical milestones remaining.

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Volume
$800,697
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 7, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.Persistent delays since the 2021 announcement, including repeated rideshare conflicts with Intuitive Machines missions and hardware integration setbacks resolved only in late 2025, have pushed the 40 kg CubeSat's Falcon 9 launch window to September 2026 or later. Current manifest alignment at Kennedy Space Center and ongoing payload readiness reviews introduce realistic slippage risks into 2027, given SpaceX's crowded schedule and historical average 12-18 month overruns for similar smallsat lunar rideshares. While optimal lunar alignment windows and final launch readiness checks in mid-2026 could accelerate timelines, traders assign high probability to further postponements based on past patterns and technical milestones remaining.

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Volume
$800,697
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 7, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Akankah Misi Bulan DOGE -1 diluncurkan sebelum 2027?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Apakah Misi Doge-1 ke Bulan akan diluncurkan sebelum tahun 2027?" di 8%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 8¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 8% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Akankah Misi Bulan DOGE -1 diluncurkan sebelum 2027?" telah menghasilkan $800.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 7, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Akankah Misi Bulan DOGE -1 diluncurkan sebelum 2027?," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Ini adalah pasar yang sangat terbuka. Pemimpin saat ini untuk "Akankah Misi Bulan DOGE -1 diluncurkan sebelum 2027?" adalah "Apakah Misi Doge-1 ke Bulan akan diluncurkan sebelum tahun 2027?" di hanya 8%. Tanpa hasil yang menguasai mayoritas kuat, trader melihat ini sebagai sangat tidak pasti, yang bisa menghadirkan peluang trading unik. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time, jadi tandai halaman ini untuk menyaksikan bagaimana probabilitas berkembang.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Akankah Misi Bulan DOGE -1 diluncurkan sebelum 2027?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.