Persistent delays since the 2021 announcement, including repeated rideshare conflicts with Intuitive Machines missions and hardware integration setbacks resolved only in late 2025, have pushed the 40 kg CubeSat's Falcon 9 launch window to September 2026 or later. Current manifest alignment at Kennedy Space Center and ongoing payload readiness reviews introduce realistic slippage risks into 2027, given SpaceX's crowded schedule and historical average 12-18 month overruns for similar smallsat lunar rideshares. While optimal lunar alignment windows and final launch readiness checks in mid-2026 could accelerate timelines, traders assign high probability to further postponements based on past patterns and technical milestones remaining.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAkankah Misi Bulan DOGE -1 diluncurkan sebelum 2027?
Ya
$800,697 Vol.
$800,697 Vol.
Ya
$800,697 Vol.
$800,697 Vol.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 7, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent delays since the 2021 announcement, including repeated rideshare conflicts with Intuitive Machines missions and hardware integration setbacks resolved only in late 2025, have pushed the 40 kg CubeSat's Falcon 9 launch window to September 2026 or later. Current manifest alignment at Kennedy Space Center and ongoing payload readiness reviews introduce realistic slippage risks into 2027, given SpaceX's crowded schedule and historical average 12-18 month overruns for similar smallsat lunar rideshares. While optimal lunar alignment windows and final launch readiness checks in mid-2026 could accelerate timelines, traders assign high probability to further postponements based on past patterns and technical milestones remaining.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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