**Recent developments have sharply reduced prospects for a UNSC resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran deal by year-end.** The June 2026 memorandum of understanding outlined a 60-day negotiation window for a comprehensive agreement on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and related matters, with explicit reference to a binding UN Security Council endorsement. That framework collapsed amid stalled talks, resumed exchanges of strikes, and persistent disputes over verification, the Strait of Hormuz, and regional proxies. As of mid-September 2026, Russia and China vetoed a U.S. draft extending a sanctions-monitoring panel, underscoring P5 divisions that would likely block any endorsing resolution. With no active negotiations underway and only three months remaining, traders see significant procedural and political barriers to meeting the deadline.
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UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
14% peluang
$244,059 Vol.
$244,059 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
14% peluang
$244,059 Vol.
$244,059 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
**Recent developments have sharply reduced prospects for a UNSC resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran deal by year-end.** The June 2026 memorandum of understanding outlined a 60-day negotiation window for a comprehensive agreement on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and related matters, with explicit reference to a binding UN Security Council endorsement. That framework collapsed amid stalled talks, resumed exchanges of strikes, and persistent disputes over verification, the Strait of Hormuz, and regional proxies.
As of mid-September 2026, Russia and China vetoed a U.S. draft extending a sanctions-monitoring panel, underscoring P5 divisions that would likely block any endorsing resolution. With no active negotiations underway and only three months remaining, traders see significant procedural and political barriers to meeting the deadline.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Volume
$244,059Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
**Recent developments have sharply reduced prospects for a UNSC resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran deal by year-end.** The June 2026 memorandum of understanding outlined a 60-day negotiation window for a comprehensive agreement on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and related matters, with explicit reference to a binding UN Security Council endorsement. That framework collapsed amid stalled talks, resumed exchanges of strikes, and persistent disputes over verification, the Strait of Hormuz, and regional proxies.
As of mid-September 2026, Russia and China vetoed a U.S. draft extending a sanctions-monitoring panel, underscoring P5 divisions that would likely block any endorsing resolution. With no active negotiations underway and only three months remaining, traders see significant procedural and political barriers to meeting the deadline.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$244,059Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent developments have sharply reduced prospects for a UNSC resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran deal by year-end.** The June 2026 memorandum of understanding outlined a 60-day negotiation window for a comprehensive agreement on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and related matters, with explicit reference to a binding UN Security Council endorsement. That framework collapsed amid stalled talks, resumed exchanges of strikes, and persistent disputes over verification, the Strait of Hormuz, and regional proxies. As of mid-September 2026, Russia and China vetoed a U.S. draft extending a sanctions-monitoring panel, underscoring P5 divisions that would likely block any endorsing resolution. With no active negotiations underway and only three months remaining, traders see significant procedural and political barriers to meeting the deadline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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