Traders assign the highest probability to an Anthropic IPO closing above 1.8 trillion dollars because the company’s Claude large language models continue to demonstrate competitive capabilities in reasoning and safety benchmarks, supported by multibillion-dollar partnerships with Amazon and Google Cloud that accelerate revenue from enterprise API usage. Private funding rounds have already implied valuations in the tens of billions, and sustained AI sector momentum could translate into a premium public debut if an IPO occurs before 2028. Key swing factors include the pace of model releases, user adoption metrics, and any regulatory clarity on AI deployment that could either accelerate or delay a listing. A prolonged private trajectory or slower-than-expected revenue growth would instead favor mid-range brackets or push resolution toward the no-IPO-by-2027 outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato1.8T+ 33%
1.2–1.5T 16%
1.5–1.8T 14%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14%
$47,746 Vol.
$47,746 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<0.6T
4%
0.6–0.9T
5%
0.9–1.2T
11%
1.2–1.5T
16%
1.5–1.8T
14%
1.8T+
33%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
14%
1.8T+ 33%
1.2–1.5T 16%
1.5–1.8T 14%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14%
$47,746 Vol.
$47,746 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<0.6T
$3,442 Vol.
4%
0.6–0.9T
$7,164 Vol.
5%
0.9–1.2T
$6,108 Vol.
11%
1.2–1.5T
$5,186 Vol.
16%
1.5–1.8T
$5,471 Vol.
14%
1.8T+
$13,000 Vol.
33%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$7,375 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders assign the highest probability to an Anthropic IPO closing above 1.8 trillion dollars because the company’s Claude large language models continue to demonstrate competitive capabilities in reasoning and safety benchmarks, supported by multibillion-dollar partnerships with Amazon and Google Cloud that accelerate revenue from enterprise API usage. Private funding rounds have already implied valuations in the tens of billions, and sustained AI sector momentum could translate into a premium public debut if an IPO occurs before 2028. Key swing factors include the pace of model releases, user adoption metrics, and any regulatory clarity on AI deployment that could either accelerate or delay a listing. A prolonged private trajectory or slower-than-expected revenue growth would instead favor mid-range brackets or push resolution toward the no-IPO-by-2027 outcome.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Volume
$47,746Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders assign the highest probability to an Anthropic IPO closing above 1.8 trillion dollars because the company’s Claude large language models continue to demonstrate competitive capabilities in reasoning and safety benchmarks, supported by multibillion-dollar partnerships with Amazon and Google Cloud that accelerate revenue from enterprise API usage. Private funding rounds have already implied valuations in the tens of billions, and sustained AI sector momentum could translate into a premium public debut if an IPO occurs before 2028. Key swing factors include the pace of model releases, user adoption metrics, and any regulatory clarity on AI deployment that could either accelerate or delay a listing. A prolonged private trajectory or slower-than-expected revenue growth would instead favor mid-range brackets or push resolution toward the no-IPO-by-2027 outcome.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$47,746Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest probability to an Anthropic IPO closing above 1.8 trillion dollars because the company’s Claude large language models continue to demonstrate competitive capabilities in reasoning and safety benchmarks, supported by multibillion-dollar partnerships with Amazon and Google Cloud that accelerate revenue from enterprise API usage. Private funding rounds have already implied valuations in the tens of billions, and sustained AI sector momentum could translate into a premium public debut if an IPO occurs before 2028. Key swing factors include the pace of model releases, user adoption metrics, and any regulatory clarity on AI deployment that could either accelerate or delay a listing. A prolonged private trajectory or slower-than-expected revenue growth would instead favor mid-range brackets or push resolution toward the no-IPO-by-2027 outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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