Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing in early June 2026 and its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May have anchored trader expectations for a premium IPO debut, with secondary-market pricing already implying $1.05–1.15 trillion. Surging revenue run rates above $47 billion annualized, continued Claude model momentum, and the broader AI IPO wave—including OpenAI and SpaceX filings—support the market’s 67.5% implied probability on a closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. The low odds assigned to sub-$1.2 trillion brackets or a missed 2027 IPO reflect strong growth momentum and limited execution risk visible in recent hyperscaler partnerships and infrastructure scaling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato1.8T+ 68%
1.5–1.8T 17.9%
1.2–1.5T 8.5%
0.9–1.2T 3.3%
$318,444 Vol.
$318,444 Vol.
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
2%
0.9–1.2T
3%
1.2–1.5T
9%
1.5–1.8T
18%
1.8T+
68%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
1.8T+ 68%
1.5–1.8T 17.9%
1.2–1.5T 8.5%
0.9–1.2T 3.3%
$318,444 Vol.
$318,444 Vol.
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
2%
0.9–1.2T
3%
1.2–1.5T
9%
1.5–1.8T
18%
1.8T+
68%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing in early June 2026 and its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May have anchored trader expectations for a premium IPO debut, with secondary-market pricing already implying $1.05–1.15 trillion. Surging revenue run rates above $47 billion annualized, continued Claude model momentum, and the broader AI IPO wave—including OpenAI and SpaceX filings—support the market’s 67.5% implied probability on a closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. The low odds assigned to sub-$1.2 trillion brackets or a missed 2027 IPO reflect strong growth momentum and limited execution risk visible in recent hyperscaler partnerships and infrastructure scaling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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