Argentina's monthly inflation print for August 2026, due from INDEC around September 10, sits at a near-even split between the 1.5-1.7% and 1.8-2.0% bins amid ongoing disinflation under tight fiscal and monetary conditions. July's 2.1% month-on-month reading (33.8% year-on-year) surprised to the upside after June's 1.9%, reflecting persistent pressures from regulated prices and lingering effects of earlier energy shocks, even as the BCRA's inflation-linked FX band and reserve purchases have supported peso stability. Analysts' median forecasts point to a modest pullback toward 1.8%, consistent with the broader trajectory toward a 29-30% year-end annual rate, though core components and seasonal factors could sustain momentum near the higher bin. Market-implied odds capture this narrow uncertainty, with traders weighting recent data revisions and policy continuity against the risk of renewed volatility ahead of the release.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoArgentina Inflazione mensile - Agosto
1,5-1,7% 47.9%
1,8-2,0% 45.0%
1,2-1,4% <1%
2,1-2,3% <1%
≤1,1%
1%
1,2-1,4%
1%
1,5-1,7%
48%
1,8-2,0%
45%
2,1-2,3%
1%
2,4-2,6%
1%
2,7-2,9%
1%
3,0%+
1%
1,5-1,7% 47.9%
1,8-2,0% 45.0%
1,2-1,4% <1%
2,1-2,3% <1%
≤1,1%
1%
1,2-1,4%
1%
1,5-1,7%
48%
1,8-2,0%
45%
2,1-2,3%
1%
2,4-2,6%
1%
2,7-2,9%
1%
3,0%+
1%
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Argentina's monthly inflation print for August 2026, due from INDEC around September 10, sits at a near-even split between the 1.5-1.7% and 1.8-2.0% bins amid ongoing disinflation under tight fiscal and monetary conditions. July's 2.1% month-on-month reading (33.8% year-on-year) surprised to the upside after June's 1.9%, reflecting persistent pressures from regulated prices and lingering effects of earlier energy shocks, even as the BCRA's inflation-linked FX band and reserve purchases have supported peso stability. Analysts' median forecasts point to a modest pullback toward 1.8%, consistent with the broader trajectory toward a 29-30% year-end annual rate, though core components and seasonal factors could sustain momentum near the higher bin. Market-implied odds capture this narrow uncertainty, with traders weighting recent data revisions and policy continuity against the risk of renewed volatility ahead of the release.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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