Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61.5% implied probability for Eurozone annual HICP inflation exceeding 3.1% in 2026, reflecting the recent acceleration in headline inflation to 3.0% in April—up from 2.6% in March—driven primarily by spiking energy prices amid oil market volatility and subdued economic growth of just 0.1% in Q1. The ECB's May Survey of Professional Forecasters revised 2026 headline expectations upward to 2.7% from prior estimates around 2.1-2.6%, signaling sticky pressures from services and wages, though core inflation remains below headline. A 23.5% odds on sub-1.0% outcome captures tail risks from potential demand destruction, with upcoming May HICP data and the June ECB meeting as key catalysts that could shift the rate path.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoInflazione annuale dell'Eurozona 2026
Inflazione annuale dell'Eurozona 2026
3.1%+ 60.9%
2.8-3.0% 23.8%
<1.0% 12.8%
2.2–2.4% 10.8%
$12,547 Vol.
$12,547 Vol.
19 gen 2027
<1.0%
22%
1.0–1.2%
4%
1.3–1.5%
<1%
1.6–1.8%
1%
1.9–2.1%
16%
2.2–2.4%
11%
2.5–2.7%
11%
2.8-3.0%
24%
3.1%+
68%
3.1%+ 60.9%
2.8-3.0% 23.8%
<1.0% 12.8%
2.2–2.4% 10.8%
$12,547 Vol.
$12,547 Vol.
19 gen 2027
<1.0%
$1,069 Vol.
22%
1.0–1.2%
$769 Vol.
4%
1.3–1.5%
$1,910 Vol.
<1%
1.6–1.8%
$1,019 Vol.
1%
1.9–2.1%
$2,821 Vol.
16%
2.2–2.4%
$1,021 Vol.
11%
2.5–2.7%
$1,139 Vol.
11%
2.8-3.0%
$635 Vol.
24%
3.1%+
$2,163 Vol.
68%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61.5% implied probability for Eurozone annual HICP inflation exceeding 3.1% in 2026, reflecting the recent acceleration in headline inflation to 3.0% in April—up from 2.6% in March—driven primarily by spiking energy prices amid oil market volatility and subdued economic growth of just 0.1% in Q1. The ECB's May Survey of Professional Forecasters revised 2026 headline expectations upward to 2.7% from prior estimates around 2.1-2.6%, signaling sticky pressures from services and wages, though core inflation remains below headline. A 23.5% odds on sub-1.0% outcome captures tail risks from potential demand destruction, with upcoming May HICP data and the June ECB meeting as key catalysts that could shift the rate path.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Mercato aperto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volume
$12,547Data di fine
19 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61.5% implied probability for Eurozone annual HICP inflation exceeding 3.1% in 2026, reflecting the recent acceleration in headline inflation to 3.0% in April—up from 2.6% in March—driven primarily by spiking energy prices amid oil market volatility and subdued economic growth of just 0.1% in Q1. The ECB's May Survey of Professional Forecasters revised 2026 headline expectations upward to 2.7% from prior estimates around 2.1-2.6%, signaling sticky pressures from services and wages, though core inflation remains below headline. A 23.5% odds on sub-1.0% outcome captures tail risks from potential demand destruction, with upcoming May HICP data and the June ECB meeting as key catalysts that could shift the rate path.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Volume
$12,547Data di fine
19 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61.5% implied probability for Eurozone annual HICP inflation exceeding 3.1% in 2026, reflecting the recent acceleration in headline inflation to 3.0% in April—up from 2.6% in March—driven primarily by spiking energy prices amid oil market volatility and subdued economic growth of just 0.1% in Q1. The ECB's May Survey of Professional Forecasters revised 2026 headline expectations upward to 2.7% from prior estimates around 2.1-2.6%, signaling sticky pressures from services and wages, though core inflation remains below headline. A 23.5% odds on sub-1.0% outcome captures tail risks from potential demand destruction, with upcoming May HICP data and the June ECB meeting as key catalysts that could shift the rate path.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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