Recent August CPI data showed a rebound to 0.8% year-over-year, driven primarily by elevated energy costs from Middle East supply risks and seasonal factors, while core inflation edged to 1.0% amid subdued domestic demand and ongoing food price deflation. Trader consensus clusters tightly between 0.7-1.0% for September as base effects, commodity volatility, and weak consumption data create uncertainty over whether the modest uptick sustains or fades. Persistent overcapacity and soft retail sales continue to limit pass-through from producer prices, keeping outcomes competitive. Developments that could widen spreads include sharper swings in global oil prices, new fiscal or monetary signals from Beijing, or stronger-than-expected consumption figures ahead of the mid-October release.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato0,9% a 1,0% 45%
0,7% a 0,8% 45%
≤0,4% 27%
0,5% a 0,6% 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 ott 2026
≤0,4%
27%
0,5% a 0,6%
27%
0,7% a 0,8%
45%
0,9% a 1,0%
45%
1,1%+
26%
0,9% a 1,0% 45%
0,7% a 0,8% 45%
≤0,4% 27%
0,5% a 0,6% 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 ott 2026
≤0,4%
$0 Vol.
27%
0,5% a 0,6%
$0 Vol.
27%
0,7% a 0,8%
$0 Vol.
45%
0,9% a 1,0%
$20 Vol.
45%
1,1%+
$0 Vol.
26%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent August CPI data showed a rebound to 0.8% year-over-year, driven primarily by elevated energy costs from Middle East supply risks and seasonal factors, while core inflation edged to 1.0% amid subdued domestic demand and ongoing food price deflation. Trader consensus clusters tightly between 0.7-1.0% for September as base effects, commodity volatility, and weak consumption data create uncertainty over whether the modest uptick sustains or fades. Persistent overcapacity and soft retail sales continue to limit pass-through from producer prices, keeping outcomes competitive. Developments that could widen spreads include sharper swings in global oil prices, new fiscal or monetary signals from Beijing, or stronger-than-expected consumption figures ahead of the mid-October release.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 4:32 PM ET
Volume
$20Data di fine
14 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 4:32 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent August CPI data showed a rebound to 0.8% year-over-year, driven primarily by elevated energy costs from Middle East supply risks and seasonal factors, while core inflation edged to 1.0% amid subdued domestic demand and ongoing food price deflation. Trader consensus clusters tightly between 0.7-1.0% for September as base effects, commodity volatility, and weak consumption data create uncertainty over whether the modest uptick sustains or fades. Persistent overcapacity and soft retail sales continue to limit pass-through from producer prices, keeping outcomes competitive. Developments that could widen spreads include sharper swings in global oil prices, new fiscal or monetary signals from Beijing, or stronger-than-expected consumption figures ahead of the mid-October release.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$20Data di fine
14 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 4:32 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent August CPI data showed a rebound to 0.8% year-over-year, driven primarily by elevated energy costs from Middle East supply risks and seasonal factors, while core inflation edged to 1.0% amid subdued domestic demand and ongoing food price deflation. Trader consensus clusters tightly between 0.7-1.0% for September as base effects, commodity volatility, and weak consumption data create uncertainty over whether the modest uptick sustains or fades. Persistent overcapacity and soft retail sales continue to limit pass-through from producer prices, keeping outcomes competitive. Developments that could widen spreads include sharper swings in global oil prices, new fiscal or monetary signals from Beijing, or stronger-than-expected consumption figures ahead of the mid-October release.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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