Argentina's April monthly inflation print of 2.6 percent—the first slowdown in eleven months—has anchored trader expectations for further moderation in May, lifting the 2.2–2.4 percent bucket to a 56 percent market-implied probability. The year-over-year rate eased to 32.4 percent from 32.6 percent in March, reflecting sustained fiscal discipline under the Milei administration and subdued core pressures. Offsetting this, May regulated price adjustments including an 18 percent hike for trains, 5.6 percent for gas, and 2–4 percent for utilities introduce pass-through risks that could reaccelerate readings. The latest Banco Central de la República Argentina REM survey keeps the May consensus near 2.6 percent, while full-year 2026 forecasts were revised upward to 30.5 percent on May 7, underscoring base effects ahead of the June 11 release.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato2.2–2.4% 66%
≤2,1% 29%
2.5–2.7% 23%
2.8–3.0% 12%
$46,627 Vol.
$46,627 Vol.
11 giu 2026
≤2,1%
25%
2.2–2.4%
56%
2.5–2.7%
23%
2.8–3.0%
12%
3.1–3.3%
6%
3.4–3.6%
5%
3.7–3.9%
6%
4.0%+
3%
2.2–2.4% 66%
≤2,1% 29%
2.5–2.7% 23%
2.8–3.0% 12%
$46,627 Vol.
$46,627 Vol.
11 giu 2026
≤2,1%
$415 Vol.
25%
2.2–2.4%
$46,077 Vol.
56%
2.5–2.7%
$0 Vol.
23%
2.8–3.0%
$50 Vol.
12%
3.1–3.3%
$0 Vol.
6%
3.4–3.6%
$1 Vol.
5%
3.7–3.9%
$20 Vol.
6%
4.0%+
$63 Vol.
3%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's April monthly inflation print of 2.6 percent—the first slowdown in eleven months—has anchored trader expectations for further moderation in May, lifting the 2.2–2.4 percent bucket to a 56 percent market-implied probability. The year-over-year rate eased to 32.4 percent from 32.6 percent in March, reflecting sustained fiscal discipline under the Milei administration and subdued core pressures. Offsetting this, May regulated price adjustments including an 18 percent hike for trains, 5.6 percent for gas, and 2–4 percent for utilities introduce pass-through risks that could reaccelerate readings. The latest Banco Central de la República Argentina REM survey keeps the May consensus near 2.6 percent, while full-year 2026 forecasts were revised upward to 30.5 percent on May 7, underscoring base effects ahead of the June 11 release.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Volume
$46,627Data di fine
11 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's April monthly inflation print of 2.6 percent—the first slowdown in eleven months—has anchored trader expectations for further moderation in May, lifting the 2.2–2.4 percent bucket to a 56 percent market-implied probability. The year-over-year rate eased to 32.4 percent from 32.6 percent in March, reflecting sustained fiscal discipline under the Milei administration and subdued core pressures. Offsetting this, May regulated price adjustments including an 18 percent hike for trains, 5.6 percent for gas, and 2–4 percent for utilities introduce pass-through risks that could reaccelerate readings. The latest Banco Central de la República Argentina REM survey keeps the May consensus near 2.6 percent, while full-year 2026 forecasts were revised upward to 30.5 percent on May 7, underscoring base effects ahead of the June 11 release.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$46,627Data di fine
11 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Argentina's April monthly inflation print of 2.6 percent—the first slowdown in eleven months—has anchored trader expectations for further moderation in May, lifting the 2.2–2.4 percent bucket to a 56 percent market-implied probability. The year-over-year rate eased to 32.4 percent from 32.6 percent in March, reflecting sustained fiscal discipline under the Milei administration and subdued core pressures. Offsetting this, May regulated price adjustments including an 18 percent hike for trains, 5.6 percent for gas, and 2–4 percent for utilities introduce pass-through risks that could reaccelerate readings. The latest Banco Central de la República Argentina REM survey keeps the May consensus near 2.6 percent, while full-year 2026 forecasts were revised upward to 30.5 percent on May 7, underscoring base effects ahead of the June 11 release.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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