Recent July 2026 CPI data, which printed at 3.4% year-over-year after 3.5% in June, combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts showing August headline CPI near 3.36%, anchors trader expectations around the 3.3–3.4% range. Modest monthly gains of 0.1–0.2% and continued easing in energy components have supported this consensus, while core readings near 2.5% reflect contained underlying pressures amid the Fed’s 3.50–3.75% policy rate. With the August release due in mid-September, market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning that further cooling remains likely absent major upside surprises in shelter or services.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato3,4% 43%
3,3% 31%
3,5% 15%
3,2% 6.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 set 2026
≤2,9%
2%
3,0%
5%
3,1%
7%
3,2%
6%
3,3%
31%
3,4%
43%
3,5%
15%
3,6%
6%
3,7%
3%
3,8%
3%
3,9%
1%
≥4,0%
1%
3,4% 43%
3,3% 31%
3,5% 15%
3,2% 6.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 set 2026
≤2,9%
$187 Vol.
2%
3,0%
$204 Vol.
5%
3,1%
$224 Vol.
7%
3,2%
$174 Vol.
6%
3,3%
$2,954 Vol.
31%
3,4%
$3,641 Vol.
43%
3,5%
$389 Vol.
15%
3,6%
$175 Vol.
6%
3,7%
$274 Vol.
3%
3,8%
$295 Vol.
3%
3,9%
$323 Vol.
1%
≥4,0%
$208 Vol.
1%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 CPI data, which printed at 3.4% year-over-year after 3.5% in June, combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts showing August headline CPI near 3.36%, anchors trader expectations around the 3.3–3.4% range. Modest monthly gains of 0.1–0.2% and continued easing in energy components have supported this consensus, while core readings near 2.5% reflect contained underlying pressures amid the Fed’s 3.50–3.75% policy rate. With the August release due in mid-September, market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning that further cooling remains likely absent major upside surprises in shelter or services.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercato aperto: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$9,045Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 CPI data, which printed at 3.4% year-over-year after 3.5% in June, combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts showing August headline CPI near 3.36%, anchors trader expectations around the 3.3–3.4% range. Modest monthly gains of 0.1–0.2% and continued easing in energy components have supported this consensus, while core readings near 2.5% reflect contained underlying pressures amid the Fed’s 3.50–3.75% policy rate. With the August release due in mid-September, market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning that further cooling remains likely absent major upside surprises in shelter or services.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$9,045Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 CPI data, which printed at 3.4% year-over-year after 3.5% in June, combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts showing August headline CPI near 3.36%, anchors trader expectations around the 3.3–3.4% range. Modest monthly gains of 0.1–0.2% and continued easing in energy components have supported this consensus, while core readings near 2.5% reflect contained underlying pressures amid the Fed’s 3.50–3.75% policy rate. With the August release due in mid-September, market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning that further cooling remains likely absent major upside surprises in shelter or services.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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