Skip to main content
icon for Inflazione di agosto USA - Annuale
Economy·CPI

Inflazione di agosto USA - Annuale

icon for Inflazione di agosto USA - Annuale
Economy·CPI

Inflazione di agosto USA - Annuale

set 11

set 11

3,4% 42%

3,3% 33%

3,5% 13%

3,2% 10.2%

Polymarket
NUOVO

3,4% 42%

3,3% 33%

3,5% 13%

3,2% 10.2%

Polymarket
NUOVO

≤2,9%

$199 Vol.

2%

3,0%

$216 Vol.

5%

3,1%

$236 Vol.

5%

3,2%

$216 Vol.

10%

3,3%

$3,141 Vol.

33%

3,4%

$3,658 Vol.

42%

3,5%

$473 Vol.

13%

3,6%

$187 Vol.

5%

3,7%

$286 Vol.

3%

3,8%

$307 Vol.

3%

3,9%

$335 Vol.

1%

≥4,0%

$220 Vol.

1%

This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 CPI data printed at 3.4% year-over-year, matching consensus and easing from 3.5% in June amid softer energy prices and a modest shelter deceleration. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for August point to a similar 3.36% headline reading, while core measures hover near 2.4-2.5%, reflecting persistent services pressures offset by goods disinflation. Trader positioning clusters tightly between 3.3% and 3.4% outcomes because monthly volatility in gasoline, food, and shelter components can swing the annual rate by several tenths, with limited new data available early in the reference month. Market-implied odds embed expectations for continued moderation from the May 2026 peak yet acknowledge upside risks from tariff pass-through and firm labor costs ahead of the September 11 release.

This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$9,470
Data di fine
11 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 CPI data printed at 3.4% year-over-year, matching consensus and easing from 3.5% in June amid softer energy prices and a modest shelter deceleration. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for August point to a similar 3.36% headline reading, while core measures hover near 2.4-2.5%, reflecting persistent services pressures offset by goods disinflation. Trader positioning clusters tightly between 3.3% and 3.4% outcomes because monthly volatility in gasoline, food, and shelter components can swing the annual rate by several tenths, with limited new data available early in the reference month. Market-implied odds embed expectations for continued moderation from the May 2026 peak yet acknowledge upside risks from tariff pass-through and firm labor costs ahead of the September 11 release.

This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$9,470
Data di fine
11 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Correlati

icon for L'inflazione mensile aumenterà dello 0,4% ad agosto?

L'inflazione mensile aumenterà dello 0,4% ad agosto?

40%
Sì
icon for L'indice Core CPI su base annua sarà del 2,4% ad agosto?

L'indice Core CPI su base annua sarà del 2,4% ad agosto?

40%
Sì
icon for L'indice core dei prezzi al consumo su base mensile sarà dello 0,2% ad agosto?

L'indice core dei prezzi al consumo su base mensile sarà dello 0,2% ad agosto?

44%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Inflazione di agosto USA - Annuale" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 12 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "3,4%" a 42%, seguito da "3,3%" a 33%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 42¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 42% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Inflazione di agosto USA - Annuale" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 12, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Inflazione di agosto USA - Annuale", esplora i 12 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Inflazione di agosto USA - Annuale" è "3,4%" a 42%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 42% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "3,3%" a 33%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Inflazione di agosto USA - Annuale" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.