Brazil's central bank cut its benchmark Selic rate by 25 basis points to 14.50% at the late-April Copom meeting, extending a cautious easing cycle amid moderating GDP growth and resilient yet softening labor market conditions. Market-implied odds favor another reduction in June because inflation expectations for 2026 remain elevated near 4.9% while external uncertainties from Middle East oil shocks have prompted data-dependent guidance rather than a prolonged pause. Traders price in this path as the monetary authority balances above-target IPCA prints against the need to support demand without accelerating price pressures, consistent with economist surveys projecting further quarter-point moves ahead of the mid-June decision.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDecisione della Banca del Brasile a giugno?
Riduzione 77%
Nessuna variazione 23.4%
Aumento <1%
$140,225 Vol.
$140,225 Vol.
Aumento
1%
Nessuna variazione
23%
Riduzione
77%
Riduzione 77%
Nessuna variazione 23.4%
Aumento <1%
$140,225 Vol.
$140,225 Vol.
Aumento
1%
Nessuna variazione
23%
Riduzione
77%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercato aperto: Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Brazil's central bank cut its benchmark Selic rate by 25 basis points to 14.50% at the late-April Copom meeting, extending a cautious easing cycle amid moderating GDP growth and resilient yet softening labor market conditions. Market-implied odds favor another reduction in June because inflation expectations for 2026 remain elevated near 4.9% while external uncertainties from Middle East oil shocks have prompted data-dependent guidance rather than a prolonged pause. Traders price in this path as the monetary authority balances above-target IPCA prints against the need to support demand without accelerating price pressures, consistent with economist surveys projecting further quarter-point moves ahead of the mid-June decision.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti