PL leads the Brazil Chamber of Deputies election market at 89% implied probability due to its status as the largest current bloc with 99 seats, aggressive candidate recruitment, and alignment with right-leaning voter trends in a polarized contest. The party benefits from coattails effects tied to Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential candidacy under the PL banner, as recent June 2026 polls from Quaest, Nexus, and others show a close first-round presidential race between incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio, sustaining momentum for PL legislative candidates. FE Brasil trails at 1.6% amid weaker coalition dynamics for left-leaning groups, while smaller parties such as MISSÃO and UPB register minimal support reflecting limited national reach. The October 4, 2026, vote for all 513 seats remains four months away, with open-list proportional representation and state-level alliances likely to shape final seat totals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoBrazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner
Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner
PL 77%
UPB 8.3%
MISSÃO 5.8%
FE Brasil 4.9%
$35,089 Vol.
$35,089 Vol.
4 ott 2026
PL
77%
UPB
8%
MISSÃO
6%
FE Brasil
5%
MDB
<1%
PSB
<1%
PSD
<1%
REPUBLICANOS
<1%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
<1%
PDT
<1%
PSOL-REDE
<1%
Avante
<1%
PODE
<1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
<1%
NOVO
<1%
PL 77%
UPB 8.3%
MISSÃO 5.8%
FE Brasil 4.9%
$35,089 Vol.
$35,089 Vol.
4 ott 2026
PL
$22,212 Vol.
77%
UPB
$1,307 Vol.
8%
MISSÃO
$3,593 Vol.
6%
FE Brasil
$1,590 Vol.
5%
MDB
$733 Vol.
<1%
PSB
$753 Vol.
<1%
PSD
$513 Vol.
<1%
REPUBLICANOS
$706 Vol.
<1%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
$577 Vol.
<1%
PDT
$498 Vol.
<1%
PSOL-REDE
$524 Vol.
<1%
Avante
$536 Vol.
<1%
PODE
$498 Vol.
<1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
$544 Vol.
<1%
NOVO
$503 Vol.
<1%
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).PL leads the Brazil Chamber of Deputies election market at 89% implied probability due to its status as the largest current bloc with 99 seats, aggressive candidate recruitment, and alignment with right-leaning voter trends in a polarized contest. The party benefits from coattails effects tied to Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential candidacy under the PL banner, as recent June 2026 polls from Quaest, Nexus, and others show a close first-round presidential race between incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio, sustaining momentum for PL legislative candidates. FE Brasil trails at 1.6% amid weaker coalition dynamics for left-leaning groups, while smaller parties such as MISSÃO and UPB register minimal support reflecting limited national reach. The October 4, 2026, vote for all 513 seats remains four months away, with open-list proportional representation and state-level alliances likely to shape final seat totals.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
Mercato aperto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
Volume
$35,089Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).PL leads the Brazil Chamber of Deputies election market at 89% implied probability due to its status as the largest current bloc with 99 seats, aggressive candidate recruitment, and alignment with right-leaning voter trends in a polarized contest. The party benefits from coattails effects tied to Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential candidacy under the PL banner, as recent June 2026 polls from Quaest, Nexus, and others show a close first-round presidential race between incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio, sustaining momentum for PL legislative candidates. FE Brasil trails at 1.6% amid weaker coalition dynamics for left-leaning groups, while smaller parties such as MISSÃO and UPB register minimal support reflecting limited national reach. The October 4, 2026, vote for all 513 seats remains four months away, with open-list proportional representation and state-level alliances likely to shape final seat totals.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
Volume
$35,089Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...PL leads the Brazil Chamber of Deputies election market at 89% implied probability due to its status as the largest current bloc with 99 seats, aggressive candidate recruitment, and alignment with right-leaning voter trends in a polarized contest. The party benefits from coattails effects tied to Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential candidacy under the PL banner, as recent June 2026 polls from Quaest, Nexus, and others show a close first-round presidential race between incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio, sustaining momentum for PL legislative candidates. FE Brasil trails at 1.6% amid weaker coalition dynamics for left-leaning groups, while smaller parties such as MISSÃO and UPB register minimal support reflecting limited national reach. The October 4, 2026, vote for all 513 seats remains four months away, with open-list proportional representation and state-level alliances likely to shape final seat totals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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