The closely matched Polymarket odds—50% for a 25 basis point hike, 44% for 50 basis points or more, and 42% for no change—reflect persistent uncertainty over the Banco de la República’s July policy path amid mixed inflation and growth signals. Traders are weighing sticky core inflation readings against moderating economic activity and external factors such as global commodity prices and U.S. monetary policy spillovers. Recent communications from the central bank have left room for data-dependent adjustments, keeping the implied rate path fluid. Key upcoming releases on inflation, employment, and GDP growth in the coming weeks are likely to sharpen consensus ahead of the decision, as markets price in the balance between tightening to anchor expectations and supporting domestic demand.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCentral Bank of Colombia decision in July?
Central Bank of Colombia decision in July?
25 bps increase 50%
50+ bps increase 43%
50+ bps decrease 32%
25 bps decrease 25%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 lug 2026
50+ bps decrease
32%
25 bps decrease
25%
No change
41%
25 bps increase
50%
50+ bps increase
43%
25 bps increase 50%
50+ bps increase 43%
50+ bps decrease 32%
25 bps decrease 25%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 lug 2026
50+ bps decrease
$0 Vol.
32%
25 bps decrease
$0 Vol.
25%
No change
$49 Vol.
41%
25 bps increase
$0 Vol.
50%
50+ bps increase
$0 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 31, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia's July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.The closely matched Polymarket odds—50% for a 25 basis point hike, 44% for 50 basis points or more, and 42% for no change—reflect persistent uncertainty over the Banco de la República’s July policy path amid mixed inflation and growth signals. Traders are weighing sticky core inflation readings against moderating economic activity and external factors such as global commodity prices and U.S. monetary policy spillovers. Recent communications from the central bank have left room for data-dependent adjustments, keeping the implied rate path fluid. Key upcoming releases on inflation, employment, and GDP growth in the coming weeks are likely to sharpen consensus ahead of the decision, as markets price in the balance between tightening to anchor expectations and supporting domestic demand.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 31, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia's July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 31, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia's July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Apr 30, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
Volume
$49Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 31, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia's July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.The closely matched Polymarket odds—50% for a 25 basis point hike, 44% for 50 basis points or more, and 42% for no change—reflect persistent uncertainty over the Banco de la República’s July policy path amid mixed inflation and growth signals. Traders are weighing sticky core inflation readings against moderating economic activity and external factors such as global commodity prices and U.S. monetary policy spillovers. Recent communications from the central bank have left room for data-dependent adjustments, keeping the implied rate path fluid. Key upcoming releases on inflation, employment, and GDP growth in the coming weeks are likely to sharpen consensus ahead of the decision, as markets price in the balance between tightening to anchor expectations and supporting domestic demand.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 31, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia's July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 31, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia's July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Volume
$49Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched Polymarket odds—50% for a 25 basis point hike, 44% for 50 basis points or more, and 42% for no change—reflect persistent uncertainty over the Banco de la República’s July policy path amid mixed inflation and growth signals. Traders are weighing sticky core inflation readings against moderating economic activity and external factors such as global commodity prices and U.S. monetary policy spillovers. Recent communications from the central bank have left room for data-dependent adjustments, keeping the implied rate path fluid. Key upcoming releases on inflation, employment, and GDP growth in the coming weeks are likely to sharpen consensus ahead of the decision, as markets price in the balance between tightening to anchor expectations and supporting domestic demand.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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