High polarization in Colombia's June 21 presidential runoff between right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and leftist Iván Cepeda has driven trader expectations toward 60-64% turnout, reflecting the first round's 57.9% participation—nearly three points above 2022 levels—and the concentration of over 84% of votes between the two finalists. This positioning stems from structural factors including the absence of viable centrist options, which historically boosts mobilization of core bases amid security, governance, and economic concerns, alongside potential abstention among first-round nonvoters or those whose preferred candidates fell short. Campaigns now focus on coalition-building and outreach to swing blocs to sustain or lift engagement, though fatigue or localized access issues could cap gains near or below first-round figures in a closely watched contest.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato60-64% 60%
56-60% 31%
52-56% 7%
64%+ 5%
$11,714 Vol.
$11,714 Vol.
22 giu 2026
<52%
1%
52-56%
7%
56-60%
31%
60-64%
60%
64%+
5%
60-64% 60%
56-60% 31%
52-56% 7%
64%+ 5%
$11,714 Vol.
$11,714 Vol.
22 giu 2026
<52%
$675 Vol.
1%
52-56%
$495 Vol.
7%
56-60%
$2,664 Vol.
31%
60-64%
$5,178 Vol.
60%
64%+
$2,702 Vol.
5%
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).High polarization in Colombia's June 21 presidential runoff between right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and leftist Iván Cepeda has driven trader expectations toward 60-64% turnout, reflecting the first round's 57.9% participation—nearly three points above 2022 levels—and the concentration of over 84% of votes between the two finalists. This positioning stems from structural factors including the absence of viable centrist options, which historically boosts mobilization of core bases amid security, governance, and economic concerns, alongside potential abstention among first-round nonvoters or those whose preferred candidates fell short. Campaigns now focus on coalition-building and outreach to swing blocs to sustain or lift engagement, though fatigue or localized access issues could cap gains near or below first-round figures in a closely watched contest.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Mercato aperto: Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$11,714Data di fine
22 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).High polarization in Colombia's June 21 presidential runoff between right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and leftist Iván Cepeda has driven trader expectations toward 60-64% turnout, reflecting the first round's 57.9% participation—nearly three points above 2022 levels—and the concentration of over 84% of votes between the two finalists. This positioning stems from structural factors including the absence of viable centrist options, which historically boosts mobilization of core bases amid security, governance, and economic concerns, alongside potential abstention among first-round nonvoters or those whose preferred candidates fell short. Campaigns now focus on coalition-building and outreach to swing blocs to sustain or lift engagement, though fatigue or localized access issues could cap gains near or below first-round figures in a closely watched contest.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$11,714Data di fine
22 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...High polarization in Colombia's June 21 presidential runoff between right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and leftist Iván Cepeda has driven trader expectations toward 60-64% turnout, reflecting the first round's 57.9% participation—nearly three points above 2022 levels—and the concentration of over 84% of votes between the two finalists. This positioning stems from structural factors including the absence of viable centrist options, which historically boosts mobilization of core bases amid security, governance, and economic concerns, alongside potential abstention among first-round nonvoters or those whose preferred candidates fell short. Campaigns now focus on coalition-building and outreach to swing blocs to sustain or lift engagement, though fatigue or localized access issues could cap gains near or below first-round figures in a closely watched contest.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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