The upcoming Dublin Central Dáil by-election on 22 May, triggered by Paschal Donohoe’s resignation, has seen traders price Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis at a clear lead. A recent TG4/Irish Times Ipsos poll showed Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan ahead on first-preference support, yet Ennis benefits from expected transfers from Labour, Green, and People Before Profit voters in this left-leaning constituency. Independent Gerry Hutch remains a factor in early counts but faces barriers from his criminal associations that limit cross-party flows. Fine Gael’s Ray McAdam trails amid weak government-party momentum, while the single-seat contest under Ireland’s PR-STV system makes late-count dynamics the decisive variable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni suppletive del centro di Dublino
Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive del centro di Dublino
Daniel Ennis 70%
Janice Boylan 22.3%
Gerry Hutch 9.2%
Janet Horner 2.2%
$1,087,311 Vol.
$1,087,311 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Daniel Ennis
70%
Janice Boylan
22%
Gerry Hutch
9%
Janet Horner
2%
Ray McAdam
2%
Malachy Steenson
1%
Gillian Sherratt
1%
Ian Noel Smyth
<1%
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin
<1%
Séamas McGrattan
<1%
Mary Fitzpatrick
<1%
John Stephens
<1%
Daniel Ennis 70%
Janice Boylan 22.3%
Gerry Hutch 9.2%
Janet Horner 2.2%
$1,087,311 Vol.
$1,087,311 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Daniel Ennis
$33,324 Vol.
70%
Janice Boylan
$17,884 Vol.
22%
Gerry Hutch
$508,746 Vol.
9%
Janet Horner
$13,848 Vol.
2%
Ray McAdam
$34,450 Vol.
2%
Malachy Steenson
$21,001 Vol.
1%
Gillian Sherratt
$182,749 Vol.
1%
Ian Noel Smyth
$13,515 Vol.
<1%
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin
$53,116 Vol.
<1%
Séamas McGrattan
$9,470 Vol.
<1%
Mary Fitzpatrick
$45,266 Vol.
<1%
John Stephens
$153,944 Vol.
<1%
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).The upcoming Dublin Central Dáil by-election on 22 May, triggered by Paschal Donohoe’s resignation, has seen traders price Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis at a clear lead. A recent TG4/Irish Times Ipsos poll showed Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan ahead on first-preference support, yet Ennis benefits from expected transfers from Labour, Green, and People Before Profit voters in this left-leaning constituency. Independent Gerry Hutch remains a factor in early counts but faces barriers from his criminal associations that limit cross-party flows. Fine Gael’s Ray McAdam trails amid weak government-party momentum, while the single-seat contest under Ireland’s PR-STV system makes late-count dynamics the decisive variable.
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Mercato aperto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET
Volume
$1,087,311Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).The upcoming Dublin Central Dáil by-election on 22 May, triggered by Paschal Donohoe’s resignation, has seen traders price Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis at a clear lead. A recent TG4/Irish Times Ipsos poll showed Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan ahead on first-preference support, yet Ennis benefits from expected transfers from Labour, Green, and People Before Profit voters in this left-leaning constituency. Independent Gerry Hutch remains a factor in early counts but faces barriers from his criminal associations that limit cross-party flows. Fine Gael’s Ray McAdam trails amid weak government-party momentum, while the single-seat contest under Ireland’s PR-STV system makes late-count dynamics the decisive variable.
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Volume
$1,087,311Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The upcoming Dublin Central Dáil by-election on 22 May, triggered by Paschal Donohoe’s resignation, has seen traders price Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis at a clear lead. A recent TG4/Irish Times Ipsos poll showed Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan ahead on first-preference support, yet Ennis benefits from expected transfers from Labour, Green, and People Before Profit voters in this left-leaning constituency. Independent Gerry Hutch remains a factor in early counts but faces barriers from his criminal associations that limit cross-party flows. Fine Gael’s Ray McAdam trails amid weak government-party momentum, while the single-seat contest under Ireland’s PR-STV system makes late-count dynamics the decisive variable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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