Eurozone inflation surged to 3.0% in April—up from 2.6% in March—driven by a 10.9% jump in energy prices amid escalating Iran conflict and high oil costs, prompting the ECB Governing Council to hold key rates steady on April 30 while signaling readiness for action. Officials including Kazimir, who called a June hike "all but inevitable," and Patsalides have voiced hawkish views, with Bloomberg surveys forecasting two rate increases in 2026 to anchor inflation near the 2% target despite sluggish 0.1% Q1 growth and stagflation risks. Trader consensus at 91.5% yes reflects this shift from prior cut expectations, though de-escalation in Middle East tensions or softer data could still alter the path ahead of the June meeting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAumento dei tassi della BCE nel 2026?
Aumento dei tassi della BCE nel 2026?
Sì
$113,866 Vol.
$113,866 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$113,866 Vol.
$113,866 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation surged to 3.0% in April—up from 2.6% in March—driven by a 10.9% jump in energy prices amid escalating Iran conflict and high oil costs, prompting the ECB Governing Council to hold key rates steady on April 30 while signaling readiness for action. Officials including Kazimir, who called a June hike "all but inevitable," and Patsalides have voiced hawkish views, with Bloomberg surveys forecasting two rate increases in 2026 to anchor inflation near the 2% target despite sluggish 0.1% Q1 growth and stagflation risks. Trader consensus at 91.5% yes reflects this shift from prior cut expectations, though de-escalation in Middle East tensions or softer data could still alter the path ahead of the June meeting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET
Volume
$113,866Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation surged to 3.0% in April—up from 2.6% in March—driven by a 10.9% jump in energy prices amid escalating Iran conflict and high oil costs, prompting the ECB Governing Council to hold key rates steady on April 30 while signaling readiness for action. Officials including Kazimir, who called a June hike "all but inevitable," and Patsalides have voiced hawkish views, with Bloomberg surveys forecasting two rate increases in 2026 to anchor inflation near the 2% target despite sluggish 0.1% Q1 growth and stagflation risks. Trader consensus at 91.5% yes reflects this shift from prior cut expectations, though de-escalation in Middle East tensions or softer data could still alter the path ahead of the June meeting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$113,866Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Eurozone inflation surged to 3.0% in April—up from 2.6% in March—driven by a 10.9% jump in energy prices amid escalating Iran conflict and high oil costs, prompting the ECB Governing Council to hold key rates steady on April 30 while signaling readiness for action. Officials including Kazimir, who called a June hike "all but inevitable," and Patsalides have voiced hawkish views, with Bloomberg surveys forecasting two rate increases in 2026 to anchor inflation near the 2% target despite sluggish 0.1% Q1 growth and stagflation risks. Trader consensus at 91.5% yes reflects this shift from prior cut expectations, though de-escalation in Middle East tensions or softer data could still alter the path ahead of the June meeting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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