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Economy·Tariffe Globali

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

icon for Bank of Mexico Decision in June
Economy·Tariffe Globali

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

giu 25

ago 6

giu 25

ago 6

No change 91.4%

Decrease 5.5%

Increase 3.8%

Polymarket

$10,964 Vol.

No change 91.4%

Decrease 5.5%

Increase 3.8%

Polymarket

$10,964 Vol.

Decrease

$649 Vol.

5%

No change

$9,161 Vol.

91%

Increase

$1,153 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 92.6% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Mexico's (Banxico) target overnight interbank rate at the June 25, 2026 meeting, reflecting strong consensus after Banxico's May 7 decision to cut 25 basis points to 6.50%—its terminal rate in a two-year, 475 basis point easing cycle—in a split 3-2 vote. This positioning stems from weak domestic demand outweighing sticky headline inflation, which eased to 4.45% in April 2026 while Banxico raised its Q2 forecast slightly to 4.1%; the board deems the current stance well-calibrated for convergence to the 3% target by Q2 2027. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected May CPI data or renewed non-core price pressures prompting a hawkish reassessment ahead of the quarterly inflation report.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$10,964
Data di fine
25 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 92.6% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Mexico's (Banxico) target overnight interbank rate at the June 25, 2026 meeting, reflecting strong consensus after Banxico's May 7 decision to cut 25 basis points to 6.50%—its terminal rate in a two-year, 475 basis point easing cycle—in a split 3-2 vote. This positioning stems from weak domestic demand outweighing sticky headline inflation, which eased to 4.45% in April 2026 while Banxico raised its Q2 forecast slightly to 4.1%; the board deems the current stance well-calibrated for convergence to the 3% target by Q2 2027. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected May CPI data or renewed non-core price pressures prompting a hawkish reassessment ahead of the quarterly inflation report.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$10,964
Data di fine
25 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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Domande frequenti

"Bank of Mexico Decision in June" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 3 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "No change" a 91%, seguito da "Decrease" a 5%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 91¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 91% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Bank of Mexico Decision in June" ha generato $11K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Mar 27, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Bank of Mexico Decision in June", esplora i 3 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Bank of Mexico Decision in June" è "No change" a 91%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 91% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Decrease" a 5%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Bank of Mexico Decision in June" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.