Erdoğan's constitutional term runs through 2028 following his 2023 reelection, with the next scheduled presidential and parliamentary elections set for May 2028. The ruling AKP and its MHP ally have repeatedly stated there are no plans for snap elections before then, and the parliamentary supermajorities needed for constitutional amendments or early polls that could enable a third term remain absent. Opposition fragmentation has accelerated after a May 2026 court ruling ousted CHP leader Özgür Özel, further reducing immediate pressure for leadership change. While reports note the 72-year-old president's age and occasional health speculation, no acute developments have altered his incumbency through the end of 2026. These structural and political factors underpin the trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for "No."
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoErdoğan uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Erdoğan uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Sì
7% probabilità
$607,826 Vol.
$607,826 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Guadagna il 3.25%
Sì
7% probabilità
$607,826 Vol.
$607,826 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Guadagna il 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Erdoğan's constitutional term runs through 2028 following his 2023 reelection, with the next scheduled presidential and parliamentary elections set for May 2028. The ruling AKP and its MHP ally have repeatedly stated there are no plans for snap elections before then, and the parliamentary supermajorities needed for constitutional amendments or early polls that could enable a third term remain absent. Opposition fragmentation has accelerated after a May 2026 court ruling ousted CHP leader Özgür Özel, further reducing immediate pressure for leadership change. While reports note the 72-year-old president's age and occasional health speculation, no acute developments have altered his incumbency through the end of 2026. These structural and political factors underpin the trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for "No."
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volume
$607,826Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETRisolutore
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Erdoğan's constitutional term runs through 2028 following his 2023 reelection, with the next scheduled presidential and parliamentary elections set for May 2028. The ruling AKP and its MHP ally have repeatedly stated there are no plans for snap elections before then, and the parliamentary supermajorities needed for constitutional amendments or early polls that could enable a third term remain absent. Opposition fragmentation has accelerated after a May 2026 court ruling ousted CHP leader Özgür Özel, further reducing immediate pressure for leadership change. While reports note the 72-year-old president's age and occasional health speculation, no acute developments have altered his incumbency through the end of 2026. These structural and political factors underpin the trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for "No."
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$607,826Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETRisolutore
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Erdoğan's constitutional term runs through 2028 following his 2023 reelection, with the next scheduled presidential and parliamentary elections set for May 2028. The ruling AKP and its MHP ally have repeatedly stated there are no plans for snap elections before then, and the parliamentary supermajorities needed for constitutional amendments or early polls that could enable a third term remain absent. Opposition fragmentation has accelerated after a May 2026 court ruling ousted CHP leader Özgür Özel, further reducing immediate pressure for leadership change. While reports note the 72-year-old president's age and occasional health speculation, no acute developments have altered his incumbency through the end of 2026. These structural and political factors underpin the trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for "No."
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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