Recent Eurozone HICP data showing May 2026 inflation at 3.2% year-over-year—up from 3.0% in April and the highest since late 2023—has reinforced trader positioning around the 3.1%+ outcome for full-year average inflation. The surge stems primarily from energy prices rising 10.9%, fueled by supply disruptions tied to Middle East conflict, with pass-through effects lifting services and core measures to 2.5%. ECB staff projections, revised upward to 2.6% for 2026 amid these dynamics, align with market-implied odds while underscoring uncertainty around futures-priced commodity declines. Elevated Treasury yields and sticky wage pressures further support consensus for above-target readings, though base effects and potential ECB policy responses could moderate the annual average.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoInflazione annuale dell'Eurozona 2026
Inflazione annuale dell'Eurozona 2026
3.1%+ 50.7%
<1.0% 23.8%
2.8-3.0% 9.5%
1.3–1.5% 9.2%
$13,567 Vol.
$13,567 Vol.
19 gen 2027
<1.0%
24%
1.0–1.2%
4%
1.3–1.5%
9%
1.6–1.8%
1%
1.9–2.1%
4%
2.2–2.4%
4%
2.5–2.7%
6%
2.8-3.0%
10%
3.1%+
60%
3.1%+ 50.7%
<1.0% 23.8%
2.8-3.0% 9.5%
1.3–1.5% 9.2%
$13,567 Vol.
$13,567 Vol.
19 gen 2027
<1.0%
$1,158 Vol.
24%
1.0–1.2%
$801 Vol.
4%
1.3–1.5%
$2,148 Vol.
9%
1.6–1.8%
$1,289 Vol.
1%
1.9–2.1%
$2,899 Vol.
4%
2.2–2.4%
$1,059 Vol.
4%
2.5–2.7%
$1,174 Vol.
6%
2.8-3.0%
$681 Vol.
10%
3.1%+
$2,396 Vol.
60%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent Eurozone HICP data showing May 2026 inflation at 3.2% year-over-year—up from 3.0% in April and the highest since late 2023—has reinforced trader positioning around the 3.1%+ outcome for full-year average inflation. The surge stems primarily from energy prices rising 10.9%, fueled by supply disruptions tied to Middle East conflict, with pass-through effects lifting services and core measures to 2.5%. ECB staff projections, revised upward to 2.6% for 2026 amid these dynamics, align with market-implied odds while underscoring uncertainty around futures-priced commodity declines. Elevated Treasury yields and sticky wage pressures further support consensus for above-target readings, though base effects and potential ECB policy responses could moderate the annual average.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Mercato aperto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volume
$13,567Data di fine
19 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent Eurozone HICP data showing May 2026 inflation at 3.2% year-over-year—up from 3.0% in April and the highest since late 2023—has reinforced trader positioning around the 3.1%+ outcome for full-year average inflation. The surge stems primarily from energy prices rising 10.9%, fueled by supply disruptions tied to Middle East conflict, with pass-through effects lifting services and core measures to 2.5%. ECB staff projections, revised upward to 2.6% for 2026 amid these dynamics, align with market-implied odds while underscoring uncertainty around futures-priced commodity declines. Elevated Treasury yields and sticky wage pressures further support consensus for above-target readings, though base effects and potential ECB policy responses could moderate the annual average.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Volume
$13,567Data di fine
19 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Eurozone HICP data showing May 2026 inflation at 3.2% year-over-year—up from 3.0% in April and the highest since late 2023—has reinforced trader positioning around the 3.1%+ outcome for full-year average inflation. The surge stems primarily from energy prices rising 10.9%, fueled by supply disruptions tied to Middle East conflict, with pass-through effects lifting services and core measures to 2.5%. ECB staff projections, revised upward to 2.6% for 2026 amid these dynamics, align with market-implied odds while underscoring uncertainty around futures-priced commodity declines. Elevated Treasury yields and sticky wage pressures further support consensus for above-target readings, though base effects and potential ECB policy responses could moderate the annual average.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti