Recent CDC FluView data show the 2025-2026 influenza season winding down rapidly, with the cumulative laboratory-confirmed hospitalization rate reaching 85.2 per 100,000 population through week 15 and weekly rates falling to just 0.5 per 100,000. National forecasts from the FluSight ensemble project continued sharp declines in new admissions through late May, adding only modest increments to the season total. This trajectory aligns with the market’s strong 85–90 consensus, reflecting typical post-peak seasonal dynamics and the absence of late-season surges in recent comparable years. An unanticipated resurgence or delayed reporting of cases could still push the final rate above 90, but current surveillance indicators make that outcome unlikely.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 19, 2026?
85–90 90.3%
80–85 6.9%
<80 1.7%
95–100 <1%
<80
2%
80–85
7%
85–90
90%
90–95
<1%
95–100
1%
100+
1%
85–90 90.3%
80–85 6.9%
<80 1.7%
95–100 <1%
<80
2%
80–85
7%
85–90
90%
90–95
<1%
95–100
1%
100+
1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent CDC FluView data show the 2025-2026 influenza season winding down rapidly, with the cumulative laboratory-confirmed hospitalization rate reaching 85.2 per 100,000 population through week 15 and weekly rates falling to just 0.5 per 100,000. National forecasts from the FluSight ensemble project continued sharp declines in new admissions through late May, adding only modest increments to the season total. This trajectory aligns with the market’s strong 85–90 consensus, reflecting typical post-peak seasonal dynamics and the absence of late-season surges in recent comparable years. An unanticipated resurgence or delayed reporting of cases could still push the final rate above 90, but current surveillance indicators make that outcome unlikely.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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