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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Fukushima

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Fukushima

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Fukushima

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Fukushima

Masao Uchibori 94%

Yudai Endo 2.2%

Kunihiko Hasenuma <1%

Jun Kanayama <1%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Masao Uchibori 94%

Yudai Endo 2.2%

Kunihiko Hasenuma <1%

Jun Kanayama <1%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Masao Uchibori

Masao Uchibori

$2,512 Vol.

94%

icon for Yudai Endo

Yudai Endo

$305 Vol.

2%

icon for Kunihiko Hasenuma

Kunihiko Hasenuma

$251 Vol.

1%

icon for Jun Kanayama

Jun Kanayama

$212 Vol.

1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Fukushima on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Fukushima and Japan, including the Fukushima Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/).Masao Uchibori, the incumbent Fukushima governor since 2014 and re-elected in 2018, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 2025 gubernatorial election due to his established record overseeing ongoing reconstruction from the 2011 nuclear disaster. Recent public statements in early 2026 emphasized continued efforts in the third reconstruction phase through 2030, reinforcing his position amid limited visible opposition. With the election roughly two months away and no major challengers generating significant momentum, market pricing reflects the structural advantages of incumbency in Japanese local contests. Potential shifts could arise from late candidate announcements, voter concerns over specific recovery policies, or unexpected developments in the weeks before voting.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Fukushima on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Fukushima and Japan, including the Fukushima Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/).
Volume
$3,281
Data di fine
25 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Fukushima on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Fukushima and Japan, including the Fukushima Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/).
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Fukushima on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Fukushima and Japan, including the Fukushima Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/).Masao Uchibori, the incumbent Fukushima governor since 2014 and re-elected in 2018, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 2025 gubernatorial election due to his established record overseeing ongoing reconstruction from the 2011 nuclear disaster. Recent public statements in early 2026 emphasized continued efforts in the third reconstruction phase through 2030, reinforcing his position amid limited visible opposition. With the election roughly two months away and no major challengers generating significant momentum, market pricing reflects the structural advantages of incumbency in Japanese local contests. Potential shifts could arise from late candidate announcements, voter concerns over specific recovery policies, or unexpected developments in the weeks before voting.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Fukushima on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Fukushima and Japan, including the Fukushima Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/).
Volume
$3,281
Data di fine
25 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Fukushima on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Fukushima and Japan, including the Fukushima Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/).

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Fukushima" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Masao Uchibori" a 94%, seguito da "Yudai Endo" a 2%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 94¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 94% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Fukushima" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 20, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Fukushima", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Fukushima" è "Masao Uchibori" a 94%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 94% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Yudai Endo" a 2%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Fukushima" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.