National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 101°F for Austin on August 13 under persistent subtropical ridging that sustains hot, dry southerly flow with minimal cloud cover or moisture. This aligns with the market's dominant 100-101°F outcome, as recent runs show limited day-to-day variability and no incoming frontal boundary to moderate temperatures. August climatology features average highs around 99°F, but the current pattern supports values at or above that baseline, with heat indices potentially reaching 105-109°F. Any shift toward 102-103°F would require slightly stronger 700 mb temperatures, while cooler 98-99°F readings remain possible only if unexpected stabilization develops.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Austin il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Austin il 13 agosto?
100-101°F 61%
102-103°F 21%
98-99°F 16%
104-105°F 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
91°F o inferiore
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
61%
102-103°F
21%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
1%
110°F o superiore
<1%
100-101°F 61%
102-103°F 21%
98-99°F 16%
104-105°F 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
91°F o inferiore
$40 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$797 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$482 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$888 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$577 Vol.
16%
100-101°F
$891 Vol.
61%
102-103°F
$110 Vol.
21%
104-105°F
$163 Vol.
3%
106-107°F
$79 Vol.
2%
108-109°F
$616 Vol.
1%
110°F o superiore
$165 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 101°F for Austin on August 13 under persistent subtropical ridging that sustains hot, dry southerly flow with minimal cloud cover or moisture. This aligns with the market's dominant 100-101°F outcome, as recent runs show limited day-to-day variability and no incoming frontal boundary to moderate temperatures. August climatology features average highs around 99°F, but the current pattern supports values at or above that baseline, with heat indices potentially reaching 105-109°F. Any shift toward 102-103°F would require slightly stronger 700 mb temperatures, while cooler 98-99°F readings remain possible only if unexpected stabilization develops.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$4,806Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 101°F for Austin on August 13 under persistent subtropical ridging that sustains hot, dry southerly flow with minimal cloud cover or moisture. This aligns with the market's dominant 100-101°F outcome, as recent runs show limited day-to-day variability and no incoming frontal boundary to moderate temperatures. August climatology features average highs around 99°F, but the current pattern supports values at or above that baseline, with heat indices potentially reaching 105-109°F. Any shift toward 102-103°F would require slightly stronger 700 mb temperatures, while cooler 98-99°F readings remain possible only if unexpected stabilization develops.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,806Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 101°F for Austin on August 13 under persistent subtropical ridging that sustains hot, dry southerly flow with minimal cloud cover or moisture. This aligns with the market's dominant 100-101°F outcome, as recent runs show limited day-to-day variability and no incoming frontal boundary to moderate temperatures. August climatology features average highs around 99°F, but the current pattern supports values at or above that baseline, with heat indices potentially reaching 105-109°F. Any shift toward 102-103°F would require slightly stronger 700 mb temperatures, while cooler 98-99°F readings remain possible only if unexpected stabilization develops.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti