Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on September 2 project a high in the upper 90s, centered near 98°F, under partly cloudy skies with a 20–40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms and southwest winds around 5 mph. These conditions support the market-leading 98–99°F bin at 40.5% implied probability by limiting full solar heating while keeping values well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 94.1°F. Elevated heat indices near 105°F reflect high humidity, yet convective development introduces modest downside risk that favors the secondary 96–97°F outcome at 25%. Recent multi-day trends show stable warm advection without major pattern shifts, keeping the 100°F+ tail probabilities low at combined ~23%. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Austin il 2 settembre?
La temperatura più alta ad Austin il 2 settembre?
98-99°F 41%
96-97°F 23%
100-101°F 18%
102-103°F 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
87°F o inferiore
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
23%
98-99°F
41%
100-101°F
18%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
1%
106°F o superiore
1%
98-99°F 41%
96-97°F 23%
100-101°F 18%
102-103°F 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
87°F o inferiore
$511 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$17 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$61 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$320 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$156 Vol.
6%
96-97°F
$886 Vol.
23%
98-99°F
$495 Vol.
41%
100-101°F
$250 Vol.
18%
102-103°F
$50 Vol.
7%
104-105°F
$115 Vol.
1%
106°F o superiore
$138 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on September 2 project a high in the upper 90s, centered near 98°F, under partly cloudy skies with a 20–40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms and southwest winds around 5 mph. These conditions support the market-leading 98–99°F bin at 40.5% implied probability by limiting full solar heating while keeping values well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 94.1°F. Elevated heat indices near 105°F reflect high humidity, yet convective development introduces modest downside risk that favors the secondary 96–97°F outcome at 25%. Recent multi-day trends show stable warm advection without major pattern shifts, keeping the 100°F+ tail probabilities low at combined ~23%. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,999Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on September 2 project a high in the upper 90s, centered near 98°F, under partly cloudy skies with a 20–40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms and southwest winds around 5 mph. These conditions support the market-leading 98–99°F bin at 40.5% implied probability by limiting full solar heating while keeping values well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 94.1°F. Elevated heat indices near 105°F reflect high humidity, yet convective development introduces modest downside risk that favors the secondary 96–97°F outcome at 25%. Recent multi-day trends show stable warm advection without major pattern shifts, keeping the 100°F+ tail probabilities low at combined ~23%. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,999Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on September 2 project a high in the upper 90s, centered near 98°F, under partly cloudy skies with a 20–40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms and southwest winds around 5 mph. These conditions support the market-leading 98–99°F bin at 40.5% implied probability by limiting full solar heating while keeping values well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 94.1°F. Elevated heat indices near 105°F reflect high humidity, yet convective development introduces modest downside risk that favors the secondary 96–97°F outcome at 25%. Recent multi-day trends show stable warm advection without major pattern shifts, keeping the 100°F+ tail probabilities low at combined ~23%. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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