**Persistent late-summer heat dome conditions over the southern Plains are keeping overnight lows elevated in Austin, with current forecasts pointing to mid-to-upper 70s°F for the September 2 low.** Multiple model runs and agency guidance show south to southeast winds of 5–10 mph, partly cloudy skies, and high humidity limiting radiational cooling, producing minimum temperatures around 77–79°F. Historical early-September climatology averages closer to 71°F, but the ongoing heat dome—centered over the southern Plains and expected to linger through early September—has suppressed typical seasonal cooling. Minor model differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and moisture advection create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 74–77°F, while lower outcomes (70–73°F) would require stronger northerly flow or clearer skies than currently indicated. Upper-70s readings align with recent 10-day forecasts from sources such as WeatherBug and local outlets, though slight revisions in the next model cycle could shift odds within the narrow 74–79°F range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Austin il 2 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Austin il 2 settembre?
69°F o inferiore 100%
70-71°F 100%
78-79°F 100%
82-83°F 100%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
69°F o inferiore
100%
70-71°F
100%
72-73°F
97%
74-75°F
97%
76-77°F
92%
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
98%
82-83°F
100%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
100%
88°F o superiore
100%
69°F o inferiore 100%
70-71°F 100%
78-79°F 100%
82-83°F 100%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
69°F o inferiore
$15 Vol.
100%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
100%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
97%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
97%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
92%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
100%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
98%
82-83°F
$15 Vol.
100%
84-85°F
$5 Vol.
100%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
100%
88°F o superiore
$5 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent late-summer heat dome conditions over the southern Plains are keeping overnight lows elevated in Austin, with current forecasts pointing to mid-to-upper 70s°F for the September 2 low.**
Multiple model runs and agency guidance show south to southeast winds of 5–10 mph, partly cloudy skies, and high humidity limiting radiational cooling, producing minimum temperatures around 77–79°F. Historical early-September climatology averages closer to 71°F, but the ongoing heat dome—centered over the southern Plains and expected to linger through early September—has suppressed typical seasonal cooling. Minor model differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and moisture advection create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 74–77°F, while lower outcomes (70–73°F) would require stronger northerly flow or clearer skies than currently indicated. Upper-70s readings align with recent 10-day forecasts from sources such as WeatherBug and local outlets, though slight revisions in the next model cycle could shift odds within the narrow 74–79°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$45Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent late-summer heat dome conditions over the southern Plains are keeping overnight lows elevated in Austin, with current forecasts pointing to mid-to-upper 70s°F for the September 2 low.**
Multiple model runs and agency guidance show south to southeast winds of 5–10 mph, partly cloudy skies, and high humidity limiting radiational cooling, producing minimum temperatures around 77–79°F. Historical early-September climatology averages closer to 71°F, but the ongoing heat dome—centered over the southern Plains and expected to linger through early September—has suppressed typical seasonal cooling. Minor model differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and moisture advection create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 74–77°F, while lower outcomes (70–73°F) would require stronger northerly flow or clearer skies than currently indicated. Upper-70s readings align with recent 10-day forecasts from sources such as WeatherBug and local outlets, though slight revisions in the next model cycle could shift odds within the narrow 74–79°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent late-summer heat dome conditions over the southern Plains are keeping overnight lows elevated in Austin, with current forecasts pointing to mid-to-upper 70s°F for the September 2 low.** Multiple model runs and agency guidance show south to southeast winds of 5–10 mph, partly cloudy skies, and high humidity limiting radiational cooling, producing minimum temperatures around 77–79°F. Historical early-September climatology averages closer to 71°F, but the ongoing heat dome—centered over the southern Plains and expected to linger through early September—has suppressed typical seasonal cooling. Minor model differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and moisture advection create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 74–77°F, while lower outcomes (70–73°F) would require stronger northerly flow or clearer skies than currently indicated. Upper-70s readings align with recent 10-day forecasts from sources such as WeatherBug and local outlets, though slight revisions in the next model cycle could shift odds within the narrow 74–79°F range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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