Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions Denver’s August 12 high temperature near 92–95 °F, aligning with the market’s leading 92–93 °F (40 %) and 94–95 °F (27 %) implied probabilities. Persistent high pressure and downslope westerly flow off the Rockies favor daytime heating, while increasing afternoon moisture and isolated thunderstorm chances introduce modest cooling that caps upside risk and supports the competitive 90–91 °F bin. This late-summer climatology, following early-August record heat, keeps probabilities concentrated in the low-to-mid 90s ahead of the next model update cycle.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Denver il 12 agosto?
92-93°F 41%
94-95°F 26%
90-91°F 20%
96-97°F 7%
87°F o inferiore
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
20%
92-93°F
41%
94-95°F
26%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F o superiore
<1%
92-93°F 41%
94-95°F 26%
90-91°F 20%
96-97°F 7%
87°F o inferiore
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
20%
92-93°F
41%
94-95°F
26%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F o superiore
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions Denver’s August 12 high temperature near 92–95 °F, aligning with the market’s leading 92–93 °F (40 %) and 94–95 °F (27 %) implied probabilities. Persistent high pressure and downslope westerly flow off the Rockies favor daytime heating, while increasing afternoon moisture and isolated thunderstorm chances introduce modest cooling that caps upside risk and supports the competitive 90–91 °F bin. This late-summer climatology, following early-August record heat, keeps probabilities concentrated in the low-to-mid 90s ahead of the next model update cycle.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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