Recent meteorological data from the Hong Kong Observatory show stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate humidity keeping daytime peaks firmly at 27°C on May 15. Regional forecast models converge on this value as the expected maximum, consistent with typical May climatology under current ENSO-neutral patterns. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect traders’ confidence in verified observational trends and minimal short-term variability. An unexpected strengthening of onshore winds or rapid afternoon cloud buildup could still shift the recorded high by 1–2°C, though official guidance assigns low probability to such changes before final verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 15 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 15 maggio?
27°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C o inferiore <1%
20°C <1%
$292,597 Vol.
$292,597 Vol.
15 mag 2026
19°C o inferiore
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C o inferiore <1%
20°C <1%
$292,597 Vol.
$292,597 Vol.
15 mag 2026
19°C o inferiore
$3,583 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,551 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,480 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,250 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,799 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,477 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$30,336 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$69,254 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$89,457 Vol.
100%
28°C
$45,410 Vol.
<1%
29°C o superiore
$35,999 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological data from the Hong Kong Observatory show stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate humidity keeping daytime peaks firmly at 27°C on May 15. Regional forecast models converge on this value as the expected maximum, consistent with typical May climatology under current ENSO-neutral patterns. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect traders’ confidence in verified observational trends and minimal short-term variability. An unexpected strengthening of onshore winds or rapid afternoon cloud buildup could still shift the recorded high by 1–2°C, though official guidance assigns low probability to such changes before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$292,597Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological data from the Hong Kong Observatory show stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate humidity keeping daytime peaks firmly at 27°C on May 15. Regional forecast models converge on this value as the expected maximum, consistent with typical May climatology under current ENSO-neutral patterns. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect traders’ confidence in verified observational trends and minimal short-term variability. An unexpected strengthening of onshore winds or rapid afternoon cloud buildup could still shift the recorded high by 1–2°C, though official guidance assigns low probability to such changes before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$292,597Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological data from the Hong Kong Observatory show stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate humidity keeping daytime peaks firmly at 27°C on May 15. Regional forecast models converge on this value as the expected maximum, consistent with typical May climatology under current ENSO-neutral patterns. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect traders’ confidence in verified observational trends and minimal short-term variability. An unexpected strengthening of onshore winds or rapid afternoon cloud buildup could still shift the recorded high by 1–2°C, though official guidance assigns low probability to such changes before final verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti