Ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF places the May 17 high temperature at Dallas Love Field in a narrow 86–89 °F range, with the market-implied odds reflecting subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover that can shift peak readings by 1–2 °F. National Weather Service short-range forecasts show southwesterly flow and modest instability, conditions that historically produce highs within this window during mid-May. Traders are assigning the highest probabilities to the adjacent 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins because resolution depends on the official daily maximum, and the next model update or real-time observations could easily tip the outcome between them. Historical May averages near 85 °F provide context for the current mild warm anomaly.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Dallas il 17 maggio?
88-89°F 37%
86-87°F 30%
90-91°F 15%
92°F o superiore 7%
$19,066 Vol.
$19,066 Vol.
73°F o inferiore
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
30%
88-89°F
37%
90-91°F
15%
92°F o superiore
7%
88-89°F 37%
86-87°F 30%
90-91°F 15%
92°F o superiore 7%
$19,066 Vol.
$19,066 Vol.
73°F o inferiore
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
30%
88-89°F
37%
90-91°F
15%
92°F o superiore
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALEnsemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF places the May 17 high temperature at Dallas Love Field in a narrow 86–89 °F range, with the market-implied odds reflecting subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover that can shift peak readings by 1–2 °F. National Weather Service short-range forecasts show southwesterly flow and modest instability, conditions that historically produce highs within this window during mid-May. Traders are assigning the highest probabilities to the adjacent 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins because resolution depends on the official daily maximum, and the next model update or real-time observations could easily tip the outcome between them. Historical May averages near 85 °F provide context for the current mild warm anomaly.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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