National Weather Service guidance and the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs center the May 16 high at Dallas Love Field near 88°F under partly sunny skies and southerly winds of 10–15 mph, driving trader consensus toward the 86–89°F bins that hold over 67% combined implied probability. These conditions favor moderate daytime heating without strong upper-level support for rapid intensification or cooling advection. Recent model updates have shown minimal shifts from this baseline, though subtle variations in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the official reading into the adjacent 86–87°F or 90–91°F ranges by resolution time. Historical May climatology for the region supports highs in this range as typical for transitional spring patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Dallas il 16 maggio?
88-89°F 51%
86-87°F 25%
90-91°F 21%
92°F o superiore 9%
$19,453 Vol.
$19,453 Vol.
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
25%
88-89°F
51%
90-91°F
21%
92°F o superiore
9%
88-89°F 51%
86-87°F 25%
90-91°F 21%
92°F o superiore 9%
$19,453 Vol.
$19,453 Vol.
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
25%
88-89°F
51%
90-91°F
21%
92°F o superiore
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs center the May 16 high at Dallas Love Field near 88°F under partly sunny skies and southerly winds of 10–15 mph, driving trader consensus toward the 86–89°F bins that hold over 67% combined implied probability. These conditions favor moderate daytime heating without strong upper-level support for rapid intensification or cooling advection. Recent model updates have shown minimal shifts from this baseline, though subtle variations in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the official reading into the adjacent 86–87°F or 90–91°F ranges by resolution time. Historical May climatology for the region supports highs in this range as typical for transitional spring patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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