Traders see 32–33°C as the most probable maximum temperature range for Karachi on August 13 because long-range models and climatology place typical August daytime highs near 31–32°C amid the southwest monsoon. Persistent high humidity from the Arabian Sea, combined with variable monsoon cloud cover and scattered showers, limits intense solar heating while sea breezes provide modest cooling. Small differences in forecast timing of cloud breaks, wind speed, or localized rainfall can shift the peak by 1°C, explaining the tight split between the two leading outcomes. Recent monitoring shows partly cloudy conditions with daytime maxima in the 31–33°C band, consistent with historical August averages and the influence of urban heat retention offset by coastal moderation. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine the exact threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Karachi il 13 agosto?
33°C 48%
32°C 41%
34°C 8%
31°C 7%
28°C o inferiore
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
41%
33°C
48%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C o superiore
<1%
33°C 48%
32°C 41%
34°C 8%
31°C 7%
28°C o inferiore
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
41%
33°C
48%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C o superiore
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 32–33°C as the most probable maximum temperature range for Karachi on August 13 because long-range models and climatology place typical August daytime highs near 31–32°C amid the southwest monsoon. Persistent high humidity from the Arabian Sea, combined with variable monsoon cloud cover and scattered showers, limits intense solar heating while sea breezes provide modest cooling. Small differences in forecast timing of cloud breaks, wind speed, or localized rainfall can shift the peak by 1°C, explaining the tight split between the two leading outcomes. Recent monitoring shows partly cloudy conditions with daytime maxima in the 31–33°C band, consistent with historical August averages and the influence of urban heat retention offset by coastal moderation. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine the exact threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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